Manta FC
vs
Tecnico Universitario
Garuda Lions Prediction: Manta FC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario
| Probability | Manta FC | Draw | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.1% | 28.0% | 24.8% |
| Market | 42.5% | 29.7% | 27.9% |
| Final | 43.6% | 29.3% | 27.1% |
| Edge | +4.7% | -1.6% | -3.1% |
Why Manta FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.05.
- The market prices Manta FC below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario match preview
Manta FC faces Tecnico Universitario in a Liga Pro match on October 10, 2026. The model gives Manta FC a 42% chance of winning, while Tecnico Universitario has a 28% probability, and a draw stands at 30%. The expected goals suggest Manta FC is likely to score 1.53, compared to Tecnico Universitario's 1.05. The most probable scoreline is 1-0, occurring at a rate of 10%.
In terms of recent form, Manta FC has recorded a mix of results with two wins, two losses, and a draw in their last six matches. Tecnico Universitario has a similar trend with two wins and four losses. The head-to-head record over the last six encounters shows a balanced rivalry, with both teams securing three wins each. The overall confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.58
Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario attack and defence ratings
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manta FC | 43.6% | 2.29 | +4.7% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Manta FC | 43.6% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Tecnico Universitario | 27.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.1% |
| No | 47.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Manta FC win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario stats
Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario recent form
| Manta FC |
WDLLWL |
| Tecnico Universitario |
DWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario season so far
Manta FC record
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tecnico Universitario record
- They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | Tecnico Universitario | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Tecnico Universitario | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-19 | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-03 | Tecnico Universitario | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2025-04-11 | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-19 | Tecnico Universitario | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2021-04-09 | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2017-10-25 | Manta FC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2017-08-31 | Tecnico Universitario | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 29.7%, away 27.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 3.12 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 2.70 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.10 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 2.98 | 3.26 |
| Pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.11 | 3.48 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 2.78 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.80 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .