Liga Pro · Full time ·Relegation Group - 2

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario

1 – 0 Full time

28′Wagner Eriberto Caicedo Peralta
40′Jostin Alman
45′Luis EstupiñanJohan Bocanegra
52′Felix Alejandro Zambrano Santizaba
59′Adrian CelaCesar Castano
64′Mateo Ortiz
70′Jose Enrique Angulo CaicedoÁngel Ledesma
70′J. VergésGlendys Calos Mina
72′Jonathan Alexis Majao Aguayo
77′Carlos CueroLuis Cordova
77′E. MesaAnthony Castilo
80′Juan Jimenez
81′Jefferson TroyaJefferson Nazareno
81′José MonagaJuan Nazareno
87′Jonathan Alexis Majao AguayoCarlos Ronny Estupiñán García
87′Juan JimenezM. Valencia
90′Ángel Ledesma

Estadio Jocay, MantaReferee: R. Leon

Manta FC 44%
Draw 29%
Tecnico Universitario 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 1
44 Possession % 56
13 Corners 7
20 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 3
1 Saves 2
163 Accurate passes 208

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityManta FCDrawTecnico Universitario
Model47.3%28.0%24.7%
Market42.9%29.8%27.4%
Final44.0%29.3%26.7%
Edge+1.1%-0.4%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Manta FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.05.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Manta FC ↓ / Tecnico Univer → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 10% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario expected goals

Manta FC 1.53
Tecnico Universitario 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.58

Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario attack and defence ratings

Manta FC

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Tecnico Universitario

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario: result vs prediction

Manta FC 1 – 0 Tecnico Universitario

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 2 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Manta FC 44.0% 2.28 +1.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.0% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Manta FC44.0%
Draw29.3%
Tecnico Universitario26.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.6%
Under 2.552.4%
Both teams to scoreYes52.0%
No48.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.3%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Manta FC win24.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-010.4%
2-19.3%

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario stats

Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Manta FC and Tecnico Universitario going into this match

league record before kick-off

Manta FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tecnico Universitario record

  • They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Manta FC wins 1Draws 5Tecnico Universitario wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-07-26Tecnico UniversitarioManta FCLiga Pro1-0
2026-04-05Manta FCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro0-2
2025-11-29Tecnico UniversitarioManta FCLiga Pro2-3
2025-10-19Manta FCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-0
2025-08-03Tecnico UniversitarioManta FCLiga Pro3-1
2025-04-11Manta FCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-1
2021-09-19Tecnico UniversitarioManta FCLiga Pro0-0
2021-04-09Manta FCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro0-2
2017-10-25Manta FCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro Serie B2-0
2017-08-31Tecnico UniversitarioManta FCLiga Pro Serie B3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.9%, draw 29.8%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.20 3.12 3.40
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.40
BetVictor 2.00 2.75 3.00
Betano 2.18 3.15 3.45
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.30
Dafabet 2.15 3.15 3.35
Marathonbet 2.10 2.98 3.26
Pinnacle 2.21 3.19 3.52
SBO 2.05 2.90 3.16
William Hill 2.10 2.88 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.12 ▼ -0.08
X 3.06 ▼ -0.04
2 3.33 ▲ +0.12

12 snapshots recorded, from .