Liga Pro · Full time ·Relegation Group - 2

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca

0 – 0 Full time

57′Jeremy ChaconYeltzin Erique
64′Melvin DiazJeremy Mejía
65′Germán RiveroCristhian Benalcazar
65′Ángel MenaJ. Valencia
65′Beder CaicedoMichael Alessandro Bermúdez Reyes
73′Erick PluasGonzalo Rostagno
76′Renny JaramilloNixon Molina
82′Edison VegaDavid Gonzalez
82′Eddie GuevaraGian Nardelli
90′Mateo Maccari

Estadio 9 de Mayo, MachalaReferee: Gabriel Ismael Gonzalez Cordero

Orense SC 45%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Cuenca 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
58 Possession % 42
5 Corners 5
12 Fouls 13
4 Offsides 1
1 Saves 6
406 Accurate passes 271

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOrense SCDrawDeportivo Cuenca
Model46.0%29.8%24.2%
Market44.3%28.4%27.2%
Final44.8%28.8%26.5%
Edge+0.4%+0.3%-0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Orense SC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.94.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Orense SC ↓ / Deportivo Cuen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 8% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals

Orense SC 1.39
Deportivo Cuenca 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.33

Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca attack and defence ratings

Orense SC

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Deportivo Cuenca

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca: result vs prediction

Orense SC 0 – 0 Deportivo Cuenca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Relegation Group - 2 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Orense SC 44.8% 2.23 +0.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.9% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.0% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Orense SC44.8%
Draw28.8%
Deportivo Cuenca26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.1%
Under 2.558.9%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)55.2%
Handicap -1Orense SC win22.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss54.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
1-012.3%
0-011.0%

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca stats

Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca recent form

newest first
Orense SC LLWLLL
Deportivo Cuenca DDLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Orense SC and Deportivo Cuenca going into this match

league record before kick-off

Orense SC record

  • They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cuenca record

  • They have won 10 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Orense SC wins 3Draws 1Deportivo Cuenca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-16Orense SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-0
2026-04-22Deportivo CuencaOrense SCLiga Pro1-3
2025-08-31Deportivo CuencaOrense SCLiga Pro1-1
2025-05-10Orense SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-0
2024-08-10Deportivo CuencaOrense SCLiga Pro1-2
2024-03-10Orense SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-1
2023-09-03Deportivo CuencaOrense SCLiga Pro1-0
2023-04-08Orense SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-0
2022-10-15Orense SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-0
2022-05-24Deportivo CuencaOrense SCLiga Pro1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Orense SC vs Deportivo Cuenca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.3%, draw 28.4%, away 27.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.08 3.26 3.53
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.50
BetVictor 1.93 2.88 3.00
Betano 2.02 3.25 3.70
Betfair 2.05 3.25 3.25
Dafabet 2.12 3.25 3.35
Marathonbet 1.99 3.12 3.38
Pinnacle 2.19 3.24 3.51
SBO 2.02 3.02 3.10
William Hill 2.10 2.90 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.06 ▲ +0.11
X 3.22 ▼ -0.03
2 3.37 ▼ -0.23

14 snapshots recorded, from .