Deportivo Cuenca
vs
Tecnico Universitario
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Cuenca
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario
| Probability | Deportivo Cuenca | Draw | Tecnico Universitario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.3% | 35.7% | 24.0% |
| Market | 49.7% | 27.9% | 22.4% |
| Final | 47.4% | 29.8% | 22.8% |
| Edge | -9.4% | +7.8% | +1.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario match preview
Deportivo Cuenca hosts Tecnico Universitario in a Liga Pro matchup with a kickoff time set for October 16, 2026. According to our model, Deportivo Cuenca has a 48% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 30% and Tecnico Universitario at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Cuenca, with an expected goals tally of 1.01 for Cuenca and 0.72 for Tecnico Universitario.
Recent form reveals Deportivo Cuenca's struggles, with three draws and two losses in their last six matches, while Tecnico Universitario has recorded two wins and three losses in the same period. In head-to-head encounters over the last ten matches, both teams have four wins each, along with two draws, indicating a competitive rivalry.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.73
Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 47.4% | 2.11 | -9.4% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.1% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cuenca | 47.4% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Tecnico Universitario | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.9% |
| No | 66.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cuenca win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 59.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.0% |
| 1-0 | 16.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario stats
Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario recent form
| Deportivo Cuenca |
DDDLWL |
| Tecnico Universitario |
LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Cuenca and Tecnico Universitario season so far
Deportivo Cuenca record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tecnico Universitario record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-18 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-29 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-04 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 27.9%, away 22.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.30 | 4.10 |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 3.25 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.30 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.88 | 3.35 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.16 | 3.92 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 3.37 | 4.28 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 2.89 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .