Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Pro · ·Relegation Group - 4

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca

Garuda Lions Prediction: Manta FC

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Manta FC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Manta FC

Estadio Jocay, Manta

Manta FC 40%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Cuenca 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Manta FC wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
45%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityManta FCDrawDeportivo Cuenca
Model40.7%31.6%27.7%
Market39.8%29.5%30.6%
Final40.1%30.1%29.9%
Edge+0.2%+0.5%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Best available price on the pick: 2.42, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.1% per unit staked (our 40.1% × 2.42 − 1).

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca match preview

Manta FC faces Deportivo Cuenca in an upcoming Liga Pro match, with Manta FC holding a 37% probability of winning compared to Deportivo Cuenca's 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Manta FC, with a 12% likelihood. Expected goals for Manta FC stand at 1.22, while Deportivo Cuenca is projected at 0.96.

In terms of recent form, Manta FC has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Deportivo Cuenca has shown slightly better consistency with two wins in their last six. The head-to-head record favors Deportivo Cuenca, who has won three of the last four encounters against Manta FC, with Manta FC only securing one victory. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Manta FC ↓ / Deportivo Cuen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 10% 1 12% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals

Manta FC 1.22
Deportivo Cuenca 0.96

Total expected goals: 2.18

Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca attack and defence ratings

Manta FC

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Deportivo Cuenca

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Relegation Group - 4 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Manta FC 40.1% 2.50 +0.2% 2.42
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.7% 1.59 — —
Both teams to score No 55.1% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.1% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.3% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Manta FC40.1%
Draw30.1%
Deportivo Cuenca29.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.3%
Under 2.562.7%
Both teams to scoreYes44.9%
No55.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.1%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)59.9%
Handicap -1Manta FC win18.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss59.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-012.6%
1-012.4%
Compare prices for this pick

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca stats

Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca recent form

newest first
Manta FC LWWDLL
Deportivo Cuenca WDDDLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Manta FC and Deportivo Cuenca season so far

league record

Manta FC record

  • They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cuenca record

  • They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Manta FC wins 0Draws 6Deportivo Cuenca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-11Deportivo CuencaManta FCLiga Pro1-2
2026-04-19Manta FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro0-1
2025-08-23Manta FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro0-1
2025-05-03Deportivo CuencaManta FCLiga Pro2-0
2024-07-22Manta FCDeportivo CuencaCopa Ecuador1-3
2021-08-07Deportivo CuencaManta FCLiga Pro1-0
2021-03-07Manta FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-0
2014-07-05Deportivo CuencaManta FCLiga Pro3-0
2014-02-15Manta FCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-0
2013-05-26Deportivo CuencaManta FCLiga Pro0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Manta FC vs Deportivo Cuenca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.4%, draw 29.7%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.42 3.12 2.99
Bet365 2.20 3.10 3.40
BetVictor 2.10 2.75 2.80
Betano 2.30 3.10 3.20
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.90
Dafabet 2.23 3.15 3.20
Marathonbet 2.31 2.98 2.86
Pinnacle 2.40 3.15 3.02
SBO 2.25 2.80 2.70
William Hill 2.30 2.88 2.90
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▼ -0.30
X 3.10 ▲ +0.10
2 2.99 ▲ +0.26

9 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Manta FC Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now