Mushuc Runa SC
vs
Manta FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mushuc Runa SC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mushuc Runa SC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC
| Probability | Mushuc Runa SC | Draw | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.4% | 27.2% | 20.4% |
| Market | 59.6% | 25.0% | 15.4% |
| Final | 57.8% | 25.5% | 16.7% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +0.6% | +1.3% |
Why Mushuc Runa SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 0.93.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.2% per unit staked (our 57.8% × 1.57 − 1).
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC match preview
Mushuc Runa SC enters this match with a probability of 58% to win against Manta FC, who has a lower probability of 17%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.62 for Mushuc Runa SC and 0.93 for Manta FC. Recent form shows Mushuc Runa SC has struggled, recording three draws and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Manta FC has had a mixed performance, with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six games.
When looking at their head-to-head encounters, Mushuc Runa SC has a slight edge with three wins compared to Manta FC's two victories and one draw in the last six meetings. The model suggests a 50% chance that both teams will score, while there is a 47% probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC attack and defence ratings
Mushuc Runa SC
Manta FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mushuc Runa SC | 57.8% | 1.73 | -1.8% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mushuc Runa SC | 57.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Manta FC | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.7% |
| No | 50.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mushuc Runa SC win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 47.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.5% | |
| 2-0 | 10.3% |
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC stats
Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC recent form
| Mushuc Runa SC |
DLDLDD |
| Manta FC |
LLWWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mushuc Runa SC and Manta FC season so far
Mushuc Runa SC record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Manta FC record
- They have won 7 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 8 of 9 penalties (89%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Manta FC | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-11 | Mushuc Runa SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Manta FC | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Mushuc Runa SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-30 | Mushuc Runa SC | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Manta FC | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mushuc Runa SC vs Manta FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 25.0%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.55 | 3.70 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 3.75 | 6.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 3.52 | 5.05 |