Delfin SC
vs
Deportivo Cuenca
Garuda Lions Prediction: Delfin SC
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Delfin SC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca
| Probability | Delfin SC | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 31.4% | 32.5% |
| Market | 44.8% | 29.8% | 25.4% |
| Final | 42.6% | 30.2% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -2.2% | +0.4% | +1.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -5.3% per unit staked (our 42.6% × 2.22 − 1).
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca match preview
Delfin SC faces Deportivo Cuenca in a Liga Pro matchup with kickoff set for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Delfin SC holds a 43% probability of winning, while a draw is estimated at 30% and Deportivo Cuenca at 27%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Delfin SC, with an expected goals tally of 1.16 for Delfin SC and 1.09 for Deportivo Cuenca.
In terms of recent form, Delfin SC has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches, while Deportivo Cuenca has achieved two wins, three draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record over the last six encounters shows Delfin SC with two wins, three draws, and one win for Deportivo Cuenca. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca attack and defence ratings
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Delfin SC | 42.6% | 2.34 | -2.2% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.9% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Delfin SC | 42.6% |
| Draw | 30.2% | |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Delfin SC win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 63.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 11.9% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca stats
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca recent form
| Delfin SC |
LWWDDL |
| Deportivo Cuenca |
WWDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Delfin SC and Deportivo Cuenca season so far
Delfin SC record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cuenca record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Deportivo Cuenca | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Delfin SC | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Deportivo Cuenca | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Delfin SC | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Deportivo Cuenca | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Delfin SC | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Delfin SC vs Deportivo Cuenca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.8%, draw 29.8%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.15 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.08 | 2.97 | 3.32 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.07 | 3.43 |