Orense SC
vs
Delfin SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Orense SC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Orense SC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Orense SC vs Delfin SC
| Probability | Orense SC | Draw | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.9% | 27.8% | 40.3% |
| Market | 48.2% | 27.9% | 23.9% |
| Final | 44.1% | 27.9% | 28.0% |
| Edge | -4.1% | -0.0% | +4.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.94, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (our 44.1% × 1.94 − 1).
Orense SC vs Delfin SC match preview
Orense SC faces Delfin SC in an intriguing Liga Pro matchup. According to our model, Orense SC has a 44% probability of winning, while both a draw and a Delfin SC victory stand at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Orense SC, with an 8% probability. Expected goals are calculated at 1.29 for Orense SC and 1.47 for Delfin SC, suggesting a competitive contest.
In terms of recent form, Orense SC has recorded two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five matches, while Delfin SC has performed better with three wins, two draws, and one loss. The head-to-head record shows Orense SC with one win and three draws against Delfin SC, who have yet to secure a victory in their last four encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Orense SC and Delfin SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Orense SC and Delfin SC attack and defence ratings
Orense SC
Delfin SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Orense SC vs Delfin SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orense SC | 44.1% | 2.27 | -4.1% | 1.94 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Orense SC | 44.1% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Delfin SC | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.0% |
| No | 43.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Orense SC win | 14.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.6% | |
| Loss | 68.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 0-1 | 8.1% |
Orense SC vs Delfin SC stats
Orense SC and Delfin SC recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Orense SC and Delfin SC season so far
Orense SC record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Delfin SC record
- They have won 8 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Delfin SC | Orense SC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Orense SC | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Orense SC | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
| 2025-05-04 | Delfin SC | Orense SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Orense SC vs Delfin SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.0%, draw 28.0%, away 24.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 3.38 | 3.97 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.25 | 4.10 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 2.90 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.35 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.93 | 3.30 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 3.24 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.94 | 3.33 | 3.95 |
| SBO | 1.90 | 2.91 | 3.34 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 3.00 | 3.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .