Tecnico Universitario
vs
Mushuc Runa SC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mushuc Runa SC
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Mushuc Runa SC is the favourite, not a value bet.
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC
| Probability | Tecnico Universitario | Draw | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.7% | 31.2% | 40.1% |
| Market | 34.1% | 30.6% | 35.4% |
| Final | 32.7% | 30.7% | 36.5% |
| Edge | -1.3% | +0.2% | +1.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.64, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.5% per unit staked (our 36.5% × 2.64 − 1).
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC match preview
Tecnico Universitario faces Mushuc Runa SC in a Liga Pro match on October 26, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome show Tecnico Universitario at 33%, a draw at 31%, and Mushuc Runa SC leading at 37%. The expected goals indicate Tecnico Universitario at 1.00 and Mushuc Runa SC at 1.23, suggesting a competitive match.
Recent form highlights Tecnico Universitario's struggles, with their last six matches resulting in two wins and four losses, while Mushuc Runa SC has recorded three draws and three losses in their recent outings. In their last six encounters, Tecnico Universitario has secured one win, while Mushuc Runa SC has triumphed three times, with two matches ending in a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC attack and defence ratings
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Relegation Group - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mushuc Runa SC | 36.5% | 2.74 | +1.2% | 2.64 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tecnico Universitario | 32.7% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Mushuc Runa SC | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mushuc Runa SC win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 59.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 0-1 | 11.8% |
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC stats
Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC recent form
| Tecnico Universitario |
LLDWLL |
| Mushuc Runa SC |
DLDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tecnico Universitario and Mushuc Runa SC season so far
Tecnico Universitario record
- They have won 10 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mushuc Runa SC record
- They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Tecnico Universitario | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-18 | Mushuc Runa SC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Mushuc Runa SC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Tecnico Universitario | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-27 | Mushuc Runa SC | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Tecnico Universitario | Mushuc Runa SC | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tecnico Universitario vs Mushuc Runa SC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 30.6%, away 35.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.02 | 2.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.66 | 2.89 | 2.52 |
| Pinnacle | 2.83 | 3.02 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.43 | 2.81 | 2.47 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .