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Liga Pro · Full time ·Relegation Group - 1

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC

1 – 1 Full time

24′J. CusmeF. Carabali
27′Nicolás Dávila
46′D. GonzalezM. Diaz
46′M. KlimowiczR. Ibarra
61′E. Guevara
64′A. ZambranoL. Lemos
64′F. MinaB. Corozo
69′E. CaicedoK. Peralta
69′E. DavilaR. Tufino
73′G. RiveroC. Benalcazar
81′J. OrdonezA. Lopez
86′R. Tufino
88′J. ChaconD. Noboa

Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar, CuencaReferee: E. Moreira

Deportivo Cuenca 36%
Draw 32%
Mushuc Runa SC 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 0
62 Possession % 38
2 Corners 3
2 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0
0 Saves 1
201 Accurate passes 107

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo CuencaDrawMushuc Runa SC
Model25.5%36.8%37.7%
Market39.0%30.2%30.8%
Final35.7%31.8%32.5%
Edge-13.5%+6.6%+6.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Cuen ↓ / Mushuc Runa SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 17% 1 12% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 51%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 20%

Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC expected goals

Deportivo Cuenca 0.72
Mushuc Runa SC 0.94

Total expected goals: 1.67

Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Cuenca

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Mushuc Runa SC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC: result vs prediction

Deportivo Cuenca 1 – 1 Mushuc Runa SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 1 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cuenca 35.7% 2.80 -13.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.6% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score No 67.3% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 68.2% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 74.5% 1.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Cuenca35.7%
Draw31.8%
Mushuc Runa SC32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.4%
Under 2.576.6%
Both teams to scoreYes32.7%
No67.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)68.2%
X2 (draw or away)64.3%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cuenca win7.9%
Push (exactly one goal)17.6%
Loss74.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.2%
0-116.5%
1-114.2%

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC stats

Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC recent form

newest first
Deportivo Cuenca DLWLDL
Mushuc Runa SC LDDWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Cuenca and Mushuc Runa SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Cuenca record

  • They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Mushuc Runa SC record

  • They have won 9 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Deportivo Cuenca wins 3Draws 3Mushuc Runa SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-22Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro0-0
2026-04-25Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro4-1
2025-06-28Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro1-0
2025-03-01Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro3-1
2024-10-19Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-1
2024-04-27Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro5-0
2023-10-21Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-1
2023-05-13Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-0
2022-10-22Deportivo CuencaMushuc Runa SCLiga Pro3-1
2022-05-28Mushuc Runa SCDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Cuenca vs Mushuc Runa SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 30.2%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.43 3.00 3.08
Bet365 2.40 3.10 3.00
BetVictor 2.20 2.70 2.70
Betano 2.42 3.00 3.05
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.90
Marathonbet 2.32 2.88 2.94
Pinnacle 2.46 3.04 3.18
SBO 2.24 2.86 2.82
William Hill 2.30 2.75 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.32 ▲ +0.06
X 3.00 ▼ -0.06
2 2.94 ▼ -0.20

8 snapshots recorded, from .