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Liga Pro · Full time ·Relegation Group - 1

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC

1 – 1 Full time

25′Yorlin Arce
37′Ober Medina
40′B. Delgado
46′Y. ArceC. A. Cuero Q.
55′Kevin Ushiña
60′A. CelaM. Castano
75′Edwin Mesa
79′F. Ayunta
82′Johan BocanegraH. Guardia
82′T. OzaetaB. Pena
82′K. UshinaJ. Arce
82′D. LunaE. Caicedo
83′Heuyin Guardia
84′J. MorochoL. Castro
89′B. DelgadoA. Castillo
90′G. HerediaE. Espinoza

Estadio Bellavista, AmbatoReferee: P. Parra

Tecnico Universitario 44%
Draw 31%
Delfin SC 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 5
48 Possession % 52
6 Corners 7
11 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 1
4 Saves 1
268 Accurate passes 287

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTecnico UniversitarioDrawDelfin SC
Model34.4%33.6%32.0%
Market47.4%30.2%22.4%
Final44.2%31.0%24.8%
Edge-13.0%+3.4%+9.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Tecnico Universitario

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tecnico Univer ↓ / Delfin SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 12% 1 12% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Tecnico Universitario and Delfin SC expected goals

Tecnico Universitario 1.02
Delfin SC 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.00

Tecnico Universitario and Delfin SC attack and defence ratings

Tecnico Universitario

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Delfin SC

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC: result vs prediction

Tecnico Universitario 1 – 1 Delfin SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Relegation Group - 1 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tecnico Universitario 44.2% 2.26 -13.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 58.8% 1.70 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tecnico Universitario44.2%
Draw31.0%
Delfin SC24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.3%
Under 2.567.7%
Both teams to scoreYes41.2%
No58.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)69.0%
X2 (draw or away)55.8%
Handicap -1Tecnico Universitario win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-014.9%
1-114.9%
1-012.5%

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC stats

Tecnico Universitario and Delfin SC recent form

newest first
Tecnico Universitario WLLWLL
Delfin SC DLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Tecnico Universitario and Delfin SC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Tecnico Universitario record

  • They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Delfin SC record

  • They have won 7 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Tecnico Universitario wins 3Draws 4Delfin SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-09-01Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro1-0
2026-05-09Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro4-0
2025-09-20Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro0-1
2025-05-25Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro1-2
2024-08-20Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro0-1
2024-03-17Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-0
2023-12-03Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-2
2023-06-20Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro3-0
2022-09-06Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro0-0
2022-04-20Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tecnico Universitario vs Delfin SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 30.2%, away 22.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.96 3.08 4.23
Bet365 1.91 3.10 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 2.75 3.60
Betano 1.98 3.05 4.25
Betfair 1.90 3.00 4.00
Marathonbet 1.88 2.95 4.05
Pinnacle 1.99 3.13 4.36
SBO 1.88 2.89 3.69
William Hill 1.91 2.80 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▼ -0.32
X 3.00 —
2 4.05 ▲ +0.75

8 snapshots recorded, from .