Garuda Lions
Today
Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 30

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca

1 – 1 Full time

44′Patricio Boolsen
52′Deyverson
56′Matías KlimowiczCristhian Benalcazar
57′Elvis Kevin Velasco ChereRuddy Mina
70′Ruddy Mina
70′Sebastián GonzálezLucas Rodriguez
70′Alexander AlvaradoFernando Cornejo
70′Richard MinaJesús Pretell
72′Melvin DiazRomario Ibarra
73′Eddie Guevara
84′Carlos ArboledaJeremy Mejía
85′Juan rodriguezMichael Estrada

Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado, QuitoReferee: L. Quinonez

LDU de Quito 56%
Draw 26%
Deportivo Cuenca 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 7
66 Possession % 34
3 Corners 3
18 Fouls 6
2 Offsides 2
6 Saves 3
508 Accurate passes 209

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca overview

Garuda Lions analysis: LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLDU de QuitoDrawDeportivo Cuenca
Model55.4%32.9%11.8%
Market56.6%24.1%19.3%
Final56.3%26.3%17.4%
Edge-1.2%+8.7%-7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why LDU de Quito

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.42.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

LDU de Quito ↓ / Deportivo Cuen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 1 23% 2 14% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals

LDU de Quito 1.21
Deportivo Cuenca 0.42

Total expected goals: 1.63

LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca attack and defence ratings

LDU de Quito

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.71 -29%

Deportivo Cuenca

Attack 0.55 -45%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca: result vs prediction

LDU de Quito 1 – 1 Deportivo Cuenca

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 30 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 LDU de Quito 56.3% 1.78 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.6% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score No 75.0% 1.33 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.6% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.6% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2LDU de Quito56.3%
Draw26.3%
Deportivo Cuenca17.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.4%
Under 2.577.6%
Both teams to scoreYes25.0%
No75.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.6%
12 (either side)73.7%
X2 (draw or away)43.7%
Handicap -1LDU de Quito win26.1%
Push (exactly one goal)29.3%
Loss44.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-022.8%
0-020.6%
2-014.4%

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca stats

LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca recent form

newest first
LDU de Quito LWDLWD
Deportivo Cuenca LWLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

LDU de Quito and Deportivo Cuenca going into this match

league record before kick-off

LDU de Quito record

  • They have won 13 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Deportivo Cuenca record

  • They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5LDU de Quito wins 4Draws 1Deportivo Cuenca wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Deportivo CuencaLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-1
2025-11-13LDU de QuitoDeportivo CuencaCopa Ecuador2-0
2025-07-20LDU de QuitoDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-2
2025-03-29Deportivo CuencaLDU de QuitoLiga Pro1-2
2024-12-01LDU de QuitoDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro5-0
2024-08-28LDU de QuitoDeportivo CuencaCopa Ecuador3-0
2024-06-02Deportivo CuencaLDU de QuitoLiga Pro2-2
2023-08-08LDU de QuitoDeportivo CuencaLiga Pro2-0
2023-03-23LDU de QuitoDeportivo CuencaFriendlies Clubs1-1
2023-02-25Deportivo CuencaLDU de QuitoLiga Pro2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

LDU de Quito vs Deportivo Cuenca odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.6%, draw 23.7%, away 18.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.51 3.90 6.50
1xBet 1.63 3.92 4.98
888Sport 1.50 3.60 5.75
Bet365 1.67 4.10 4.50
BetVictor 1.53 3.25 4.20
Betano 1.72 4.05 5.10
Betfair 1.60 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.57 3.78 4.80
Pinnacle 1.67 3.94 4.98
SBO 1.54 3.53 4.67
Unibet 1.52 4.00 6.10
William Hill 1.62 3.50 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▲ +0.15
X 3.80 ▼ -0.08
2 4.75 ▼ -1.75

12 snapshots recorded, from .