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Liga Pro · Full time ·Matchday 28

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario

1 – 0 Full time

4′Luis Mario Córdova Mina
35′Gerónimo Heredia
45′Julian Anaya
45′A. Bedoya
47′Franco Ayunta
52′J. MorochoL. Castro
62′D. LunaL. Cornejo
62′J. ArceT. Ozaeta
63′Diego Armas
69′Luis Mario Córdova Mina
73′Luis Castro
73′Thiago Ozaeta
74′A. CelaM. A. Carrasco Bonilla
74′L. EstupinanR. Chilla
78′Anthony Bedoya
85′B. PenaK. Ushina
85′F. AyuntaE. Yepez
88′M. CastanoK. Arce
88′Y. ArceC. Garcia
90′Kevin Ushiña
90′D. ArmasW. Caicedo

Estadio Jocay, MantaReferee: G. Araujo

Delfin SC 45%
Draw 30%
Tecnico Universitario 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
66 Possession % 34
7 Corners 2
16 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
325 Accurate passes 139

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDelfin SCDrawTecnico Universitario
Model41.1%29.1%29.8%
Market46.9%29.8%23.4%
Final45.4%29.6%25.0%
Edge-5.7%-0.7%+6.4%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Delfin SC ↓ / Tecnico Univer → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 8% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Delfin SC and Tecnico Universitario expected goals

Delfin SC 1.39
Tecnico Universitario 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.53

Delfin SC and Tecnico Universitario attack and defence ratings

Delfin SC

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Tecnico Universitario

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario: result vs prediction

Delfin SC 1 – 0 Tecnico Universitario

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Liga Pro

Before and after this match

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Delfin SC 45.4% 2.20 -5.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.6% 1.87 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Delfin SC45.4%
Draw29.6%
Tecnico Universitario25.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.4%
Under 2.553.6%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.0%
12 (either side)70.4%
X2 (draw or away)54.6%
Handicap -1Delfin SC win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.9%
1-09.8%
0-09.2%

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario stats

Delfin SC and Tecnico Universitario recent form

newest first
Delfin SC LLLDLL
Tecnico Universitario WLLLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Delfin SC and Tecnico Universitario going into this match

league record before kick-off

Delfin SC record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Tecnico Universitario record

  • They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Delfin SC wins 4Draws 3Tecnico Universitario wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-09Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro4-0
2025-09-20Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro0-1
2025-05-25Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro1-2
2024-08-20Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro0-1
2024-03-17Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-0
2023-12-03Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro2-2
2023-06-20Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro3-0
2022-09-06Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro0-0
2022-04-20Tecnico UniversitarioDelfin SCLiga Pro1-1
2021-07-27Delfin SCTecnico UniversitarioLiga Pro1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Delfin SC vs Tecnico Universitario odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 29.8%, away 23.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.96 3.30 3.90
1xBet 1.97 3.14 4.10
Bet365 1.95 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 1.83 2.80 3.40
Betano 1.98 3.10 4.05
Betfair 1.90 3.10 3.90
Dafabet 1.97 3.15 3.95
Marathonbet 1.90 3.02 3.95
Pinnacle 1.99 3.17 4.29
SBO 1.99 2.88 3.33
Superbet 2.00 3.15 4.00
Unibet 2.02 3.10 3.85
William Hill 1.95 2.88 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.97 ▼ -0.13
X 3.10 —
2 3.95 ▲ +0.39

5 snapshots recorded, from .