Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Macara
vs
Manta FC
4 – 3 Full time
| 20′ | A. I. Campana | ||
| 27′ | J. EstacioC. Caicedo | ||
| 43′ | J. Alman | ||
| 45′ | Jeremy Mina | ||
| 46′ | T. ChambaM. Tello | ||
| 46′ | J. NazarenoJ. Chala | ||
| 48′ | Carlos Caicedo | ||
| 54′ | Carlos Caicedo | ||
| 54′ | Carlos Caicedo | ||
| 55′ | J. Blanco | ||
| 61′ | M. Tello | ||
| 64′ | J. MinaJ. Troya | ||
| 64′ | J. BlancoA. Ledesma | ||
| 67′ | M. VieraJ. Klinger | ||
| 72′ | R. BurbanoM. Valencia | ||
| 73′ | J. AlmanW. Chala | ||
| 80′ | S. Etchebarne | ||
| 83′ | Santiago Etchebarne | ||
| 85′ | A. Ledesma | ||
| 86′ | M. MedrandaJ. Marrufo | ||
| 86′ | F. PosseCaicedo Nestor | ||
| 89′ | S. Etchebarne |
Macara
65%
Draw
23%
Manta FC
13%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 53 | Possession % | 47 |
| 3 | Corners | 2 |
| 8 | Fouls | 13 |
| 2 | Saves | 5 |
| 300 | Accurate passes | 268 |
Macara vs Manta FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Macara vs Manta FC
| Probability | Macara | Draw | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.0% | 22.5% | 10.5% |
| Market | 64.2% | 22.6% | 13.2% |
| Final | 64.9% | 22.6% | 12.5% |
| Edge | +2.7% | -0.0% | -2.7% |
Why Macara
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 0.63.
- The market prices Macara below the model: +2.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Macara and Manta FC expected goals
Macara
1.91
Manta FC
0.63
Total expected goals: 2.54
Macara and Manta FC attack and defence ratings
Macara
Attack
1.11 +11%
Defence
0.79 -21%
Manta FC
Attack
0.75 -25%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Macara vs Manta FC: result vs prediction
Macara 4 – 3 Manta FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Macara vs Manta FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macara | 64.9% | 1.54 | +2.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Macara win | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Macara | 64.9% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Manta FC | 12.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.9% |
| No | 59.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Macara win | 41.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 14.1% | |
| 1-1 | 10.4% |
Macara vs Manta FC stats
Macara and Manta FC recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Macara and Manta FC going into this match
Macara record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Manta FC record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Macara vs Manta FC head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Macara wins
3Draws
4Manta FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Manta FC | Macara | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Manta FC | Macara | Liga Pro | 1-3 |
| 2025-05-31 | Macara | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-18 | Macara | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 1-3 |
| 2023-08-30 | Manta FC | Macara | Liga Pro Serie B | 1-1 |
| 2023-06-16 | Manta FC | Macara | Liga Pro Serie B | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-19 | Macara | Manta FC | Liga Pro Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2021-10-30 | Macara | Manta FC | Liga Pro | 1-2 |
| 2021-05-16 | Manta FC | Macara | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2016-10-29 | Manta FC | Macara | Liga Pro Serie B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Macara vs Manta FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.2%, draw 22.6%, away 13.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.48 | 3.90 | 7.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.46 | 4.10 | 7.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.10 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 3.40 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.10 | 7.10 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.43 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.41 | 3.95 | 6.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.27 | 7.05 |
| SBO | 1.42 | 3.63 | 5.90 |
| Superbet | 1.45 | 4.25 | 6.70 |
| Unibet | 1.46 | 4.10 | 7.00 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 ▼ -0.06
X
4.10 ▲ +0.35
2
7.00 ▲ +1.00
6 snapshots recorded, from .