Liga Pro
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Tecnico Universitario
vs
Deportivo Cuenca
3 – 1 Full time
Tecnico Universitario
39%
Draw
32%
Deportivo Cuenca
29%
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca
| Probability | Tecnico Universitario | Draw | Deportivo Cuenca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.8% | 32.4% | 26.8% |
| Market | 39.0% | 31.2% | 29.7% |
| Final | 39.5% | 31.5% | 29.0% |
| Edge | +1.8% | +1.1% | -2.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
63%
3+ goals
35%
No goals
14%
Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca expected goals
Tecnico Universitario
1.18
Deportivo Cuenca
0.91
Total expected goals: 2.09
Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca attack and defence ratings
Tecnico Universitario
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.52 +52%
Deportivo Cuenca
Attack
0.56 -44%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca: result vs prediction
Tecnico Universitario 3 – 1 Deportivo Cuenca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tecnico Universitario | 39.5% | 2.53 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tecnico Universitario | 39.5% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.6% |
| No | 57.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tecnico Universitario win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 59.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.3% |
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca stats
Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca recent form
| Tecnico Universitario |
LLLLWL |
| Deportivo Cuenca |
DLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tecnico Universitario and Deportivo Cuenca going into this match
Tecnico Universitario record
- They have won 9 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cuenca record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Tecnico Universitario wins
2Draws
4Deportivo Cuenca wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-18 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-29 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-02 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-04 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2021-11-23 | Tecnico Universitario | Deportivo Cuenca | Liga Pro | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tecnico Universitario vs Deportivo Cuenca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.0%, draw 31.2%, away 29.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 2.96 | 3.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.37 | 2.95 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 2.95 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.27 | 2.85 | 3.14 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 2.96 | 3.29 |
| SBO | 2.23 | 2.74 | 2.80 |
| Superbet | 2.42 | 2.95 | 3.10 |
| Unibet | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.70 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.36 ▲ +0.06
X
2.95 ▼ -0.01
2
3.10 ▼ -0.05
11 snapshots recorded, from .