Delfin SC
vs
Aucas
0 – 1 Full time
Delfin SC vs Aucas overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Delfin SC vs Aucas
| Probability | Delfin SC | Draw | Aucas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 30.5% | 38.7% |
| Market | 28.1% | 31.2% | 40.6% |
| Final | 28.8% | 31.1% | 40.1% |
| Edge | +2.6% | -0.7% | -1.9% |
Why Aucas
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Delfin SC and Aucas expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Delfin SC and Aucas attack and defence ratings
Delfin SC
Aucas
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Delfin SC vs Aucas: result vs prediction
Delfin SC 0 – 1 Aucas
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Tecnico Universitario v Guayaquil City FC — match page
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Before and after this match
Delfin SC vs Aucas markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aucas | 40.1% | 2.49 | -1.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Delfin SC | 28.8% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Aucas | 40.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aucas win | 17.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.9% | |
| 0-1 | 10.7% |
Delfin SC vs Aucas stats
Delfin SC and Aucas recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Delfin SC and Aucas going into this match
Delfin SC record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aucas record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Delfin SC vs Aucas head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-28 | Aucas | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Delfin SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-11 | Aucas | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 8-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Aucas | Delfin SC | Liga Pro | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-05 | Delfin SC | Aucas | Liga Pro | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Delfin SC vs Aucas odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.3%, draw 31.2%, away 40.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.25 | 3.05 | 2.30 |
| 1xBet | 3.36 | 2.92 | 2.33 |
| 888Sport | 3.20 | 2.70 | 2.20 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.00 | 2.25 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 2.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.35 | 2.95 | 2.32 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.00 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 3.30 | 3.00 | 2.26 |
| Marathonbet | 3.24 | 2.81 | 2.24 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50 | 2.94 | 2.36 |
| SBO | 2.97 | 2.83 | 2.17 |
| Superbet | 3.35 | 3.00 | 2.27 |
| Unibet | 3.05 | 3.00 | 2.28 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .