Alianza
vs
FAS
Garuda Lions Prediction: FAS
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Alianza vs FAS overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza vs FAS
| Probability | Alianza | Draw | FAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.2% | 28.2% | 39.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.2% | 28.2% | 39.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Alianza vs FAS match preview
Alianza and FAS are set to clash in the Primera Division, with Alianza holding a 35% probability of winning, while FAS has a slightly higher chance at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2 in favor of FAS, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Both teams show potential for a high-scoring match, with over 2.5 goals expected at 52% and both teams to score at 57%.
In terms of recent form, Alianza has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. FAS, on the other hand, has struggled with only one win in their last six, featuring three draws and two losses. The expected goals for Alianza stand at 1.35, while FAS is slightly ahead at 1.42. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alianza and FAS expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Alianza and FAS attack and defence ratings
Alianza
FAS
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Alianza vs FAS markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAS | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alianza | 32.2% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| FAS | 39.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAS win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Alianza vs FAS stats
Alianza and FAS recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alianza and FAS season so far
Alianza record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
FAS record
- They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Alianza vs FAS head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-12 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-15 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-26 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-24 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-09 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-17 | FAS | Alianza | Primera Division | 4-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-22 | Alianza | FAS | Primera Division | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.