Platense
vs
Atletico Balboa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico Balboa
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Platense vs Atletico Balboa
| Probability | Platense | Draw | Atletico Balboa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 26.5% | 38.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.6% | 26.5% | 38.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atletico Balboa
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa match preview
Platense faces Atletico Balboa in a tightly contested match, with probabilities showing Platense at 36% to win, a draw at 27%, and Atletico Balboa slightly ahead at 37%. The expected goals suggest a close encounter, with Platense at 1.44 and Atletico Balboa at 1.48. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability.
Recent form indicates that Platense has had mixed results, with their last six matches yielding two wins, two draws, and two losses. In contrast, Atletico Balboa has performed better recently, winning three of their last six matches. Additionally, there is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match and a 60% chance that both teams will score, highlighting the potential for an exciting game.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Platense and Atletico Balboa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Platense and Atletico Balboa attack and defence ratings
Platense
Atletico Balboa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Platense vs Atletico Balboa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Balboa | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Platense | 34.6% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Atletico Balboa | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.5% |
| No | 38.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Balboa win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.3% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Platense vs Atletico Balboa stats
Platense and Atletico Balboa recent form
| Platense |
LLDDWW |
| Atletico Balboa |
WWWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Platense and Atletico Balboa season so far
Platense record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 19 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Atletico Balboa record
- They have won 6 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
Platense vs Atletico Balboa head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Atletico Balboa | Platense | Primera Division | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.