Firpo
vs
Isidro Metapán
Garuda Lions Prediction: Firpo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.90.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Firpo vs Isidro Metapán
| Probability | Firpo | Draw | Isidro Metapán |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 28.8% | 21.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.7% | 28.8% | 21.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Firpo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán match preview
Firpo enters the match against Isidro Metapán with a 54% probability of winning, according to our model. They have shown solid recent form, with three wins and three draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for Firpo stand at 1.51, while Isidro Metapán is projected to score 0.77 goals. The most likely scoreline is a narrow 1-0 victory for Firpo, with a 14% chance of occurring.
On the other hand, Isidro Metapán has struggled recently, managing only one win in their last six matches, resulting in a probability of 18% for an away win. The head-to-head record over the last ten encounters shows a competitive balance, with Firpo winning three times, Isidro Metapán four times, and three matches ending in draws. The likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 43%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Firpo and Isidro Metapán expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Firpo and Isidro Metapán attack and defence ratings
Firpo
Isidro Metapán
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Apertura - 21 fixtures
Before and after this match
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 49.7% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Firpo | 49.7% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Isidro Metapán | 21.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Firpo win | 25.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.4% | |
| 0-0 | 10.4% |
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán stats
Firpo and Isidro Metapán recent form
| Firpo |
DWWDDW |
| Isidro Metapán |
WDDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Firpo and Isidro Metapán season so far
Firpo record
- They have won 11 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 19 matches.
Isidro Metapán record
- They have won 9 of their 19 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 19 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 19 matches.
Firpo vs Isidro Metapán head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Firpo | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Firpo | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Isidro Metapán | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-2 |
| 2026-04-16 | Firpo | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-2 |
| 2026-02-19 | Isidro Metapán | Firpo | Primera Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Firpo | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Isidro Metapán | Firpo | Primera Division | 2-1 |
| 2025-04-20 | Firpo | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Isidro Metapán | Firpo | Primera Division | 0-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Firpo | Isidro Metapán | Primera Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.