Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 26

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919

0 – 1 Full time

36′A. Akondo
38′Z. Sikharulia
46′M. SilaA. Khunjgurua
60′S. DvalishviliL. Kobakhidze
63′Z. SikharuliaB. Jinjolava
63′L. KutaliaO. Kvernadze
78′M. AntiaD. Gabisonia
78′D. AmoakoS. Suleimani
80′A. Khunjgurua
85′O. Kvernadze
87′S. LebedevS. Sidamonidze
87′B. NuhuG. Pipia
90′O. Kvernadze
90′G. Kutateladze
90′T. Bregvadze

Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti

Aragvi Dusheti 55%
Draw 24%
Odishi 1919 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAragvi DushetiDrawOdishi 1919
Model53.7%25.0%21.3%
Market55.1%23.6%21.3%
Final54.8%24.0%21.3%
Edge-1.4%+1.3%+0.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Aragvi Dusheti

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.09.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aragvi Dusheti ↓ / Odishi 1919 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Aragvi Dusheti and Odishi 1919 expected goals

Aragvi Dusheti 1.83
Odishi 1919 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.92

Aragvi Dusheti and Odishi 1919 attack and defence ratings

Aragvi Dusheti

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Odishi 1919

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919: result vs prediction

Aragvi Dusheti 0 – 1 Odishi 1919

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aragvi Dusheti 54.8% 1.83 -1.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.8% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.7% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.3% 2.16 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aragvi Dusheti54.8%
Draw24.0%
Odishi 191921.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.8%
No43.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.7%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)45.2%
Handicap -1Aragvi Dusheti win31.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.5%
Loss46.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.8%
2-09.0%

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 stats

Aragvi Dusheti and Odishi 1919 recent form

newest first
Aragvi Dusheti LLDWWL
Odishi 1919 LLLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aragvi Dusheti and Odishi 1919 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aragvi Dusheti record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Odishi 1919 record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Aragvi Dusheti wins 1Draws 2Odishi 1919 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-13Odishi 1919Aragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 21-1
2026-04-22Aragvi DushetiOdishi 1919Erovnuli Liga 22-1
2025-08-27Odishi 1919Aragvi DushetiLiga 34-1
2025-03-27Aragvi DushetiOdishi 1919Liga 32-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aragvi Dusheti vs Odishi 1919 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 23.6%, away 21.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.62 3.95 4.20
Bet365 1.62 3.50 4.50
BetVictor 1.62 3.75 4.75
Betano 1.65 3.75 4.20
Betfair 1.60 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.60 3.95 4.10
Pinnacle 1.58 4.05 3.92
William Hill 1.70 3.60 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.62 ▼ -0.35
X 3.77 ▲ +0.32
2 4.20 ▲ +0.91

3 snapshots recorded, from .