Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 27

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti

1 – 2 Full time

25′T. Bzekalava
34′R. GazdelianiG. Jeladze
44′S. Dvalishvili
61′Z. Tsitskishvili
63′S. DvalishviliI. Javakhishvili
64′T. Dundua
69′I. Javakhishvili
74′A. Oppong
76′Z. SitchinavaKevin
76′G. KakuliaT. Guliashvili
79′L. KobakhidzeP. Antwi
89′T. BzekalavaI. Zaridze
90′D. Amoako

Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi

Sioni 52%
Draw 25%
Aragvi Dusheti 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySioniDrawAragvi Dusheti
Model51.7%24.3%24.0%
Market51.9%25.1%23.1%
Final51.8%24.9%23.3%
Edge-0.2%-0.7%+0.9%

Confidence: Low

Why Sioni

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.91 vs 1.25.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sioni ↓ / Aragvi Dusheti → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 6% 2 8% 10% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Sioni and Aragvi Dusheti expected goals

Sioni 1.91
Aragvi Dusheti 1.25

Total expected goals: 3.16

Sioni and Aragvi Dusheti attack and defence ratings

Sioni

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Aragvi Dusheti

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti: result vs prediction

Sioni 1 – 2 Aragvi Dusheti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sioni 51.8% 1.93 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.8% 1.62 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.7% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.3% 2.07 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sioni51.8%
Draw24.9%
Aragvi Dusheti23.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.8%
No38.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.7%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)48.2%
Handicap -1Sioni win30.2%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss48.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.2%
2-19.7%
2-07.7%

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti stats

Sioni and Aragvi Dusheti recent form

newest first
Sioni LDDWWL
Aragvi Dusheti LLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sioni and Aragvi Dusheti going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sioni record

  • They have won 8 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.

Aragvi Dusheti record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Sioni wins 3Draws 2Aragvi Dusheti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-17Aragvi DushetiSioniErovnuli Liga 23-2
2026-04-26SioniAragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 21-1
2024-10-19SioniAragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 23-0
2024-08-17Aragvi DushetiSioniErovnuli Liga 21-2
2024-05-11SioniAragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 20-0
2024-03-12Aragvi DushetiSioniErovnuli Liga 22-1
2020-12-09SioniAragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 26-0
2020-09-15Aragvi DushetiSioniErovnuli Liga 21-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sioni vs Aragvi Dusheti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.9%, draw 25.1%, away 23.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.80 3.60 3.93
Bet365 1.73 3.60 3.90
Betano 1.75 3.55 3.85
Betfair 1.70 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.74 ▼ -0.01
X 3.60 —
2 3.92 ▼ -0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .