Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Samtredia
vs
Merani Martvili
5 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | D. Gvasalia | ||
| 26′ | J. Cordero Gonzalez | ||
| 33′ | L. Patarkatsishvili | ||
| 38′ | J. Cordero Gonzalez | ||
| 40′ | T. Odikadze | ||
| 43′ | D. Gvasalia | ||
| 45′ | L. Tsotsonava | ||
| 46′ | R. GagityL. Tsulaia | ||
| 46′ | L. GadiliaD. Lomtadze | ||
| 46′ | R. ChkhaidzeL. Kadaria | ||
| 46′ | S. KukhianidzeA. Jolokhava | ||
| 49′ | N. Kharabadze | ||
| 57′ | O. Gagnidze | ||
| 65′ | J. Cordero GonzalezE. Barrios | ||
| 65′ | L. PatarkatsishviliG. Kveladze | ||
| 65′ | T. OdikadzeL. Kaladze | ||
| 65′ | D. GvasaliaL. Gogitadze | ||
| 71′ | M. Gaye | ||
| 75′ | O. GagnidzeT. Chikovani | ||
| 82′ | D. KhelaiaA. Gaprindashvili |
Samtredia
65%
Draw
22%
Merani Martvili
13%
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samtredia vs Merani Martvili
| Probability | Samtredia | Draw | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.0% | 21.5% | 13.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.0% | 21.5% | 13.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Samtredia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Samtredia and Merani Martvili expected goals
Samtredia
2.11
Merani Martvili
0.87
Total expected goals: 2.98
Samtredia and Merani Martvili attack and defence ratings
Samtredia
Attack
1.53 +53%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Merani Martvili
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili: result vs prediction
Samtredia 5 – 0 Merani Martvili
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 65.0% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Merani Martvili | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 41.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.3% |
| 1-1 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili stats
Samtredia and Merani Martvili recent form
| Samtredia |
LWWWWW |
| Merani Martvili |
WWLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samtredia and Merani Martvili going into this match
Samtredia record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Merani Martvili record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samtredia vs Merani Martvili head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
3Samtredia wins
1Draws
4Merani Martvili wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Merani Martvili | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Samtredia | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-4 |
| 2025-12-06 | Samtredia | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-2 |
| 2025-10-05 | Merani Martvili | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-11 | Samtredia | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 4-1 |
| 2025-04-28 | Merani Martvili | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2022-11-27 | Samtredia | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-30 | Merani Martvili | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.