Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 28

Gori vs Merani Martvili

2 – 1 Full time

5′A. Sirbiladze
17′G. Gvasalia
21′N. Chumburidze
41′J. Owusu-Ansa
43′E. Tabatadze
46′N. KharabadzeG. Khetsuriani
46′S. KukhianidzeL. Kadaria
46′R. ChkhaidzeL. Tsulaia
46′D. KhelaiaR. Gagity
49′G. Khetsuriani
54′V. Botchorishvili
58′J. Esonkulov
58′A. Sirbiladze
67′D. Mala
85′G. KurmashviliG. Bekadze
88′N. Chumburidze
88′N. Chumburidze
90′L. Gadilia
Gori 61%
Draw 23%
Merani Martvili 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Gori vs Merani Martvili overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gori vs Merani Martvili

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGoriDrawMerani Martvili
Model61.2%23.0%15.8%
Market———
Final61.2%23.0%15.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Gori

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 0.93.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gori ↓ / Merani Martvil → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 10% 11% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Gori and Merani Martvili expected goals

Gori 2.00
Merani Martvili 0.93

Total expected goals: 2.92

Gori and Merani Martvili attack and defence ratings

Gori

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Merani Martvili

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gori vs Merani Martvili: result vs prediction

Gori 2 – 1 Merani Martvili

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Gori vs Merani Martvili markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gori 61.2% 1.64 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.1% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.2% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.7% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gori61.2%
Draw23.0%
Merani Martvili15.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.8%
Under 2.544.2%
Both teams to scoreYes53.1%
No46.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.2%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)38.8%
Handicap -1Gori win38.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.3%
Loss38.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
2-010.7%
2-19.9%

Gori vs Merani Martvili stats

Gori and Merani Martvili recent form

newest first
Gori DLDWWL
Merani Martvili LWWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gori and Merani Martvili going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gori record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.

Merani Martvili record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gori vs Merani Martvili head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

1Gori wins 2Draws 4Merani Martvili wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-22Merani MartviliGoriErovnuli Liga 20-2
2026-05-02GoriMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 20-3
2026-03-01Merani MartviliGoriErovnuli Liga 22-0
2024-10-10Merani MartviliGoriLiga 32-1
2024-04-19GoriMerani MartviliLiga 31-1
2020-12-20Merani MartviliGoriErovnuli Liga 23-1
2020-12-16GoriMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 20-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gori vs Merani Martvili odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.