Gori
vs
Merani Martvili
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gori
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Gori vs Merani Martvili overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gori vs Merani Martvili
| Probability | Gori | Draw | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.2% | 23.0% | 15.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.2% | 23.0% | 15.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gori
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.93.
Gori vs Merani Martvili match preview
Gori is set to face Merani Martvili in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model assigns a 61% probability of a Gori victory, while a draw stands at 23% and a Merani Martvili win at 16%. Gori's expected goals are 1.99, compared to Merani Martvili's 0.93, indicating a strong offensive performance anticipated from Gori. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability.
In terms of recent form, Gori has recorded a mixed set of results with a D-L-D-W-W-L sequence, whereas Merani Martvili has struggled, with L-W-W-L-L-L in their last six matches. The head-to-head record shows Gori with 1 win and Merani Martvili with 2 wins in their last three encounters. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 56%, and both teams scoring stands at 53%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gori and Merani Martvili expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Gori and Merani Martvili attack and defence ratings
Gori
Merani Martvili
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gori vs Merani Martvili markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gori | 61.2% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.8% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gori | 61.2% |
| Draw | 23.0% | |
| Merani Martvili | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.1% |
| No | 46.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gori win | 37.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 38.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Gori vs Merani Martvili stats
Gori and Merani Martvili recent form
| Gori |
DLDWWL |
| Merani Martvili |
LWWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gori and Merani Martvili season so far
Gori record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
Merani Martvili record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gori vs Merani Martvili head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Merani Martvili | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gori | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Merani Martvili | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-10 | Merani Martvili | Gori | Liga 3 | 2-1 |
| 2024-04-19 | Gori | Merani Martvili | Liga 3 | 1-1 |
| 2020-12-20 | Merani Martvili | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-1 |
| 2020-12-16 | Gori | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.