Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 29

Sioni vs Gori

1 – 0 Full time

Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi

Sioni 32%
Draw 25%
Gori 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Sioni vs Gori overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sioni vs Gori

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySioniDrawGori
Model32.2%25.3%42.5%
Market———
Final32.2%25.3%42.5%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Gori

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sioni ↓ / Gori → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 6% 1 11% 9% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Sioni and Gori expected goals

Sioni 1.49
Gori 1.71

Total expected goals: 3.20

Sioni and Gori attack and defence ratings

Sioni

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Gori

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sioni vs Gori: result vs prediction

Sioni 1 – 0 Gori

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Sioni vs Gori markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gori 42.5% 2.35 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.1% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.5% 1.55 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sioni32.2%
Draw25.3%
Gori42.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.1%
Under 2.537.9%
Both teams to scoreYes64.5%
No35.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)57.5%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)67.8%
Handicap -1Gori win22.5%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
1-28.9%
2-17.7%

Sioni vs Gori stats

Sioni and Gori recent form

newest first
Sioni LLLDDW
Gori WDLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sioni and Gori going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sioni record

  • They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Gori record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 28 matches.

Sioni vs Gori head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Sioni wins 2Draws 2Gori wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08GoriSioniErovnuli Liga 24-1
2026-07-25GoriSioniDavid Kipiani Cup1-0
2026-05-06SioniGoriErovnuli Liga 21-1
2026-03-07GoriSioniErovnuli Liga 20-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sioni vs Gori odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.