Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 29

Gareji vs Telavi

2 – 1 Full time

2′G. Tsetskhladze
13′L. Kalandadze
30′D. Izotov
34′T. ZhividzeA. Datuashvili
40′D. Gogotishvili
58′T. Kapanadze
59′D. ZurabianiN. Grigalashvili
61′G. KharebashviliP. Marakvelidze
61′A. DevdarianiD. Skhirtladze
72′B. GugberidzeN. Gelashvili
72′D. AidarashviliG. Samadashvili
77′D. BrazhkoJ. Iobashvili
83′T. BabunadzeM. Kometiani
83′N. GelashviliG. Nikolaishvili
90′M. Kometiani
90′A. Ananidze

Central stadium

Gareji 27%
Draw 28%
Telavi 46%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gareji vs Telavi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gareji vs Telavi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGarejiDrawTelavi
Model27.7%27.4%45.0%
Market26.4%27.7%46.0%
Final26.7%27.6%45.7%
Edge+1.3%-0.3%-1.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Telavi

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.19.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gareji ↓ / Telavi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 8% 1 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Gareji and Telavi expected goals

Gareji 1.19
Telavi 1.57

Total expected goals: 2.75

Gareji and Telavi attack and defence ratings

Gareji

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Telavi

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gareji vs Telavi: result vs prediction

Gareji 2 – 1 Telavi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 29 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Gareji vs Telavi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Telavi 45.7% 2.19 -1.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.9% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 73.3% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.0% 1.82 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gareji26.7%
Draw27.6%
Telavi45.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)54.3%
12 (either side)72.4%
X2 (draw or away)73.3%
Handicap -1Telavi win23.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss55.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
1-29.3%
0-18.8%

Gareji vs Telavi stats

Gareji and Telavi recent form

newest first
Gareji LLWLDW
Telavi WDDDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gareji and Telavi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gareji record

  • They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Telavi record

  • They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gareji vs Telavi head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

1Gareji wins 5Draws 2Telavi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08TelaviGarejiErovnuli Liga 20-0
2026-05-06GarejiTelaviErovnuli Liga 22-0
2026-03-07TelaviGarejiErovnuli Liga 20-0
2025-11-21GarejiTelaviErovnuli Liga3-3
2025-09-13TelaviGarejiErovnuli Liga0-0
2025-05-16GarejiTelaviErovnuli Liga0-0
2025-04-06TelaviGarejiErovnuli Liga1-0
2022-08-07GarejiTelaviDavid Kipiani Cup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gareji vs Telavi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 26.4%, draw 27.7%, away 46.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.44 3.24 1.96
Bet365 2.90 3.20 2.20
Marathonbet 3.35 3.24 1.94
Pinnacle 3.47 3.26 1.88

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.40 ▲ +0.43
X 3.24 ▲ +0.04
2 1.95 ▼ -0.26

2 snapshots recorded, from .