Telavi
vs
Kolkheti Poti
Garuda Lions Prediction: Telavi
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti
| Probability | Telavi | Draw | Kolkheti Poti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.5% | 30.7% | 29.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.5% | 30.7% | 29.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti match preview
Telavi faces Kolkheti Poti in the Erovnuli Liga 2 with a probability model suggesting a 40% chance of a Telavi victory, while a draw is at 31% and Kolkheti Poti at 30%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Telavi, with an 11% likelihood. Expected goals are calculated at 1.25 for Telavi and 1.05 for Kolkheti Poti, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form shows Telavi with a record of L-W-D-D-D-L, while Kolkheti Poti has performed better with W-L-D-W-D-W. In their last three encounters, Telavi has secured two wins and one draw against Kolkheti Poti, who has not won any of those matches. The model suggests a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% likelihood for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Telavi and Kolkheti Poti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Telavi and Kolkheti Poti attack and defence ratings
Telavi
Kolkheti Poti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
Before and after this match
Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 39.5% |
| Draw | 30.7% | |
| Kolkheti Poti | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 60.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.1% |
Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti stats
Telavi and Kolkheti Poti recent form
| Telavi |
LWDDDL |
| Kolkheti Poti |
WLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Telavi and Kolkheti Poti season so far
Telavi record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolkheti Poti record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Telavi vs Kolkheti Poti head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kolkheti Poti | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2026-05-10 | Telavi | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-1 |
| 2026-03-11 | Kolkheti Poti | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.