Kolkheti Poti
vs
Gareji
Garuda Lions Prediction: Kolkheti Poti
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji
| Probability | Kolkheti Poti | Draw | Gareji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.1% | 26.4% | 17.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.1% | 26.4% | 17.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Kolkheti Poti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.85.
Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji match preview
Kolkheti Poti faces Gareji in the Erovnuli Liga 2 on October 31, 2026. Kolkheti Poti has a 56% probability of winning, while Gareji stands at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.68 for Kolkheti Poti and 0.85 for Gareji. Recent form shows Kolkheti Poti with mixed results, recording two draws and a win in their last five matches, while Gareji has struggled, with only one win in their last five outings.
Historically, the last three encounters between these teams have seen Kolkheti Poti win none, with one draw and two wins for Gareji. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kolkheti Poti and Gareji expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.53
Kolkheti Poti and Gareji attack and defence ratings
Kolkheti Poti
Gareji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolkheti Poti | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolkheti Poti | 56.1% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Gareji | 17.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolkheti Poti win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 43.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 2-0 | 11.3% |
Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji stats
Kolkheti Poti and Gareji recent form
| Kolkheti Poti |
DWLDWD |
| Gareji |
DWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolkheti Poti and Gareji season so far
Kolkheti Poti record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Gareji record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolkheti Poti vs Gareji head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gareji | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kolkheti Poti | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Gareji | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.