Merani Martvili
vs
Telavi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Telavi
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.16.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Merani Martvili vs Telavi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Merani Martvili vs Telavi
| Probability | Merani Martvili | Draw | Telavi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 27.5% | 45.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.3% | 27.5% | 45.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Telavi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.16.
Merani Martvili vs Telavi match preview
Merani Martvili faces Telavi in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Merani Martvili has a 27% chance of winning, while Telavi holds a 45% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Telavi, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Merani Martvili recording two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Telavi has drawn three of their last five games.
In terms of expected goals, Merani Martvili is projected to score 1.16, compared to Telavi's 1.55. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51%, and both teams to score stands at 55%. Historically, in their last three encounters, Merani Martvili has not secured a win, with two draws and one victory for Telavi.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Merani Martvili and Telavi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Merani Martvili and Telavi attack and defence ratings
Merani Martvili
Telavi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Merani Martvili vs Telavi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Merani Martvili | 27.3% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Telavi | 45.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 54.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 23.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 54.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 9.1% |
Merani Martvili vs Telavi stats
Merani Martvili and Telavi recent form
| Merani Martvili |
LWLLWW |
| Telavi |
DLWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Merani Martvili and Telavi season so far
Merani Martvili record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Telavi record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Merani Martvili vs Telavi head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Telavi | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Merani Martvili | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Telavi | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.