Garuda Lions
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Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 32

Gareji vs Merani Martvili

3 – 0 Full time

Central stadium

Gareji 39%
Draw 28%
Merani Martvili 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gareji vs Merani Martvili overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gareji vs Merani Martvili

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGarejiDrawMerani Martvili
Model42.3%27.5%30.1%
Market37.3%27.7%35.0%
Final38.6%27.7%33.7%
Edge+1.2%-0.0%-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gareji ↓ / Merani Martvil → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

Gareji and Merani Martvili expected goals

Gareji 1.52
Merani Martvili 1.25

Total expected goals: 2.77

Gareji and Merani Martvili attack and defence ratings

Gareji

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Merani Martvili

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gareji vs Merani Martvili: result vs prediction

Gareji 3 – 0 Merani Martvili

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Gareji vs Merani Martvili markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gareji 38.6% 2.59 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.4% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.0% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.7% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gareji38.6%
Draw27.7%
Merani Martvili33.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.4%
Under 2.547.6%
Both teams to scoreYes57.0%
No43.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.3%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.4%
Handicap -1Gareji win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss57.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.0%
1-08.3%

Gareji vs Merani Martvili stats

Gareji and Merani Martvili recent form

newest first
Gareji LDWLLW
Merani Martvili WLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gareji and Merani Martvili going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gareji record

  • They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Merani Martvili record

  • They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Gareji vs Merani Martvili head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

6Gareji wins 1Draws 2Merani Martvili wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-29Merani MartviliGarejiErovnuli Liga 21-2
2026-05-20GarejiMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 21-0
2026-04-03Merani MartviliGarejiErovnuli Liga 21-0
2023-10-27GarejiMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 26-1
2023-08-18Merani MartviliGarejiErovnuli Liga 21-4
2023-05-15GarejiMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 25-1
2023-03-19Merani MartviliGarejiErovnuli Liga 20-2
2022-10-29GarejiMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 20-0
2022-09-04Merani MartviliGarejiErovnuli Liga 23-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gareji vs Merani Martvili odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 37.3%, draw 27.7%, away 35.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.42 3.18 2.53
Bet365 2.40 3.25 2.55
Betano 2.40 3.25 2.60
Betfair 2.40 3.30 2.60
Dafabet 2.43 3.25 2.60
Marathonbet 2.42 3.18 2.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.41 ▲ +0.01
X 3.25 —
2 2.58 ▲ +0.03

2 snapshots recorded, from .