Shturmi
vs
Gori
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shturmi
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Shturmi vs Gori overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shturmi vs Gori
| Probability | Shturmi | Draw | Gori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.2% | 30.8% | 33.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.2% | 30.8% | 33.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Shturmi
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Shturmi vs Gori match preview
Shturmi and Gori are set to clash in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Shturmi holding a slight edge in the 1X2 probabilities at 36%, compared to Gori's 33% and a 31% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.19 for Shturmi and 1.13 for Gori. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Shturmi recording two wins in their last five matches, while Gori has experienced two wins but also three draws and a loss.
In terms of goal-scoring potential, there is a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals, and both teams to score stands at 48%. Historically, in their last five encounters, Shturmi has secured one win, while Gori has two victories and there have been two draws. The confidence grade for this match is rated C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shturmi and Gori expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Shturmi and Gori attack and defence ratings
Shturmi
Gori
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shturmi vs Gori markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 36.2% |
| Draw | 30.8% | |
| Gori | 33.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shturmi win | 15.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.4% |
Shturmi vs Gori stats
Shturmi and Gori recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shturmi and Gori season so far
Shturmi record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
Gori record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 31 matches.
Shturmi vs Gori head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gori | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-1 |
| 2026-05-20 | Shturmi | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gori | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-09 | Shturmi | Gori | Liga 3 | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-08 | Gori | Shturmi | Liga 3 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.