Gori
vs
Aragvi Dusheti
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gori
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti
| Probability | Gori | Draw | Aragvi Dusheti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.9% | 26.0% | 19.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.9% | 26.0% | 19.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gori
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 0.93.
Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti match preview
Gori is set to face Aragvi Dusheti in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Gori holds a 55% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and Aragvi Dusheti at 19%. The expected goals suggest Gori will score around 1.72, compared to Aragvi Dusheti’s 0.93. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring with an 11% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Gori has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. Conversely, Aragvi Dusheti has struggled with three losses and only one win in their last six games, alongside a draw. Historically, Gori has not secured any wins against Aragvi Dusheti in their last three encounters, which saw Aragvi Dusheti take all three victories.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gori and Aragvi Dusheti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Gori and Aragvi Dusheti attack and defence ratings
Gori
Aragvi Dusheti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gori | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gori | 54.9% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 19.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gori win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.4% |
Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti stats
Gori and Aragvi Dusheti recent form
| Gori |
WLWDLD |
| Aragvi Dusheti |
DWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gori and Aragvi Dusheti season so far
Gori record
- They have won 7 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 29 matches.
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gori vs Aragvi Dusheti head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Aragvi Dusheti | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gori | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aragvi Dusheti | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.