Aragvi Dusheti
vs
Kolkheti Poti
1 – 0 Full time
Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti
| Probability | Aragvi Dusheti | Draw | Kolkheti Poti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.2% | 30.6% | 44.2% |
| Market | 36.6% | 27.1% | 36.3% |
| Final | 33.7% | 28.0% | 38.3% |
| Edge | -2.8% | +0.9% | +2.0% |
Why Kolkheti Poti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.32 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aragvi Dusheti and Kolkheti Poti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Aragvi Dusheti and Kolkheti Poti attack and defence ratings
Aragvi Dusheti
Kolkheti Poti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti: result vs prediction
Aragvi Dusheti 1 – 0 Kolkheti Poti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolkheti Poti | 38.3% | 2.61 | +2.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 33.7% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Kolkheti Poti | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kolkheti Poti win | 21.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-1 | 12.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti stats
Aragvi Dusheti and Kolkheti Poti recent form
| Aragvi Dusheti |
DDWLWL |
| Kolkheti Poti |
WDWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aragvi Dusheti and Kolkheti Poti going into this match
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 11 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolkheti Poti record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Kolkheti Poti | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2026-07-25 | Kolkheti Poti | Aragvi Dusheti | David Kipiani Cup | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Aragvi Dusheti | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Kolkheti Poti | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-1 |
| 2021-03-27 | Aragvi Dusheti | Kolkheti Poti | David Kipiani Cup | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Kolkheti Poti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.6%, draw 27.1%, away 36.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.46 | 3.32 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.52 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.46 | 3.35 | 2.55 |
| Marathonbet | 2.46 | 3.32 | 2.41 |