Aragvi Dusheti
vs
Telavi
Garuda Lions Prediction: Telavi
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi
| Probability | Aragvi Dusheti | Draw | Telavi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.2% | 30.1% | 32.7% |
| Market | 33.1% | 28.5% | 38.4% |
| Final | 34.1% | 28.9% | 37.0% |
| Edge | +4.1% | +1.6% | -5.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi match preview
Aragvi Dusheti faces Telavi in an Erovnuli Liga 2 match on October 10, 2026. The probabilities indicate a close contest, with Aragvi Dusheti at 34%, a draw at 29%, and Telavi slightly favored at 37%. The most likely scoreline, according to the model, is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Aragvi Dusheti recording a W-L-L-L-D-W sequence and Telavi managing a D-D-D-L-L-W run.
The expected goals for this matchup are 1.26 for Aragvi Dusheti and 1.16 for Telavi, suggesting a competitive game. Additionally, there is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% likelihood that both teams will score. In their last three encounters, Aragvi Dusheti has secured 1 win, while Telavi has won 2.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi attack and defence ratings
Aragvi Dusheti
Telavi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 37.0% | 2.70 | -5.7% | 2.40 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.3% | 1.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 34.1% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Telavi | 37.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 67.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.9% |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi stats
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi recent form
| Aragvi Dusheti |
WLLLDW |
| Telavi |
DDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi season so far
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Telavi record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Telavi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Aragvi Dusheti | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Telavi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.1%, draw 28.5%, away 38.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.37 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.40 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.30 |