Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 28

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi

1 – 4 Full time

8′N. Mensa
24′G. Nikabadze
26′T. Zhividze
27′G. Nikabadze
45′D. Gogotishvili
46′G. NikabadzeD. Skhirtladze
46′L. ChokheliG. Pipia
46′D. Skhirtladze
57′B. NuhuP. Antwi
57′D. AmoakoS. Suleimani
57′T. ZhividzeD. Kutalia
60′K. AsamoahP. Marakvelidze
68′T. Bzekalava
82′D. IzotovL. Salukvadze
82′D. GogotishviliN. Galakhvaridze
84′I. JavakhishviliJ. Alavidze

Tsentraluri Stadioni, Dusheti

Aragvi Dusheti 32%
Draw 28%
Telavi 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAragvi DushetiDrawTelavi
Model37.5%30.1%32.4%
Market30.0%27.7%42.4%
Final31.8%28.3%39.9%
Edge+1.9%+0.6%-2.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aragvi Dusheti ↓ / Telavi → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 9% 1 10% 14% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi expected goals

Aragvi Dusheti 1.27
Telavi 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.42

Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi attack and defence ratings

Aragvi Dusheti

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Telavi

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi: result vs prediction

Aragvi Dusheti 1 – 4 Telavi

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Telavi 39.9% 2.51 -2.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.5% 1.77 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.7% 1.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aragvi Dusheti31.8%
Draw28.3%
Telavi39.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.5%
Under 2.556.5%
Both teams to scoreYes50.5%
No49.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.1%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)68.2%
Handicap -1Telavi win13.7%
Push (exactly one goal)18.5%
Loss67.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-010.2%
1-09.9%

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi stats

Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi recent form

newest first
Aragvi Dusheti WLLLDW
Telavi DDDLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi going into this match

league record before kick-off

Aragvi Dusheti record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Telavi record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Aragvi Dusheti wins 0Draws 2Telavi wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-22TelaviAragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 21-0
2026-05-02Aragvi DushetiTelaviErovnuli Liga 22-1
2026-04-11TelaviAragvi DushetiErovnuli Liga 21-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 27.7%, away 42.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.06 3.22 2.12
Bet365 3.00 3.20 2.10
BetVictor 3.10 3.25 2.15
Betano 3.00 3.30 2.12
Betfair 2.88 3.25 2.20
Dafabet 2.85 3.35 2.20
Marathonbet 2.99 3.22 2.10
Pinnacle 2.85 3.38 2.09
William Hill 3.00 3.10 2.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.00 ▲ +0.25
X 3.25 ▲ +0.05
2 2.12 ▼ -0.25

3 snapshots recorded, from .