Aragvi Dusheti
vs
Telavi
1 – 4 Full time
| 8′ | N. Mensa | ||
| 24′ | G. Nikabadze | ||
| 26′ | T. Zhividze | ||
| 27′ | G. Nikabadze | ||
| 45′ | D. Gogotishvili | ||
| 46′ | G. NikabadzeD. Skhirtladze | ||
| 46′ | L. ChokheliG. Pipia | ||
| 46′ | D. Skhirtladze | ||
| 57′ | B. NuhuP. Antwi | ||
| 57′ | D. AmoakoS. Suleimani | ||
| 57′ | T. ZhividzeD. Kutalia | ||
| 60′ | K. AsamoahP. Marakvelidze | ||
| 68′ | T. Bzekalava | ||
| 82′ | D. IzotovL. Salukvadze | ||
| 82′ | D. GogotishviliN. Galakhvaridze | ||
| 84′ | I. JavakhishviliJ. Alavidze |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi
| Probability | Aragvi Dusheti | Draw | Telavi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.5% | 30.1% | 32.4% |
| Market | 30.0% | 27.7% | 42.4% |
| Final | 31.8% | 28.3% | 39.9% |
| Edge | +1.9% | +0.6% | -2.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi attack and defence ratings
Aragvi Dusheti
Telavi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi: result vs prediction
Aragvi Dusheti 1 – 4 Telavi
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 39.9% | 2.51 | -2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 31.8% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Telavi | 39.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.5% | |
| Loss | 67.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 9.9% |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi stats
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi recent form
| WLLLDW | |
| DDDLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aragvi Dusheti and Telavi going into this match
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Telavi record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Telavi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Aragvi Dusheti | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Telavi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Telavi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 30.0%, draw 27.7%, away 42.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.06 | 3.22 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 3.20 | 2.10 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.25 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.00 | 3.30 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.25 | 2.20 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.35 | 2.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.99 | 3.22 | 2.10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.85 | 3.38 | 2.09 |
| William Hill | 3.00 | 3.10 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .