Samtredia
vs
Sioni
3 – 0 Full time
| 15′ | O. Gagnidze | ||
| 41′ | G. Mandzhgaladze | ||
| 46′ | KevinA. Tcholokava | ||
| 52′ | Sioni | ||
| 54′ | T. Odikadze | ||
| 66′ | G. IakobidzeR. Gazdeliani | ||
| 66′ | A. HuskicN. Tutashvili | ||
| 67′ | J. Cordero Gonzalez | ||
| 70′ | J. Cordero GonzalezE. Barrios | ||
| 70′ | O. GagnidzeT. Chikovani | ||
| 70′ | T. OdikadzeE. Ayuk | ||
| 70′ | Z. SitchinavaN. Tskhovrebashvili | ||
| 73′ | G. MandzhgaladzeL. Tsulaia | ||
| 81′ | M. GayeT. Jangidze | ||
| 84′ | G. GaprindashviliS. Abdulahi |
Samtredia vs Sioni overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samtredia vs Sioni
| Probability | Samtredia | Draw | Sioni |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Market | 51.7% | 24.8% | 23.5% |
| Final | 58.1% | 22.1% | 19.8% |
| Edge | +6.5% | -2.7% | -3.8% |
Why Samtredia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.01 vs 0.97.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Samtredia below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samtredia and Sioni expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.98
Samtredia and Sioni attack and defence ratings
Samtredia
Sioni
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Samtredia vs Sioni: result vs prediction
Samtredia 3 – 0 Sioni
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Samtredia vs Sioni markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 58.1% | 1.72 | +6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 58.1% |
| Draw | 22.1% | |
| Sioni | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.5% |
| No | 40.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 59.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.4% | |
| Loss | 22.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 8.5% |
| 3-0 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Samtredia vs Sioni stats
Samtredia and Sioni recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samtredia and Sioni going into this match
Samtredia record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sioni record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
Samtredia vs Sioni head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Sioni | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-2 |
| 2026-05-02 | Samtredia | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-11 | Sioni | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Samtredia | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Sioni | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-15 | Samtredia | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Sioni | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-1 |
| 2023-07-23 | Sioni | Samtredia | David Kipiani Cup | 4-1 |
| 2022-12-11 | Sioni | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-12-07 | Samtredia | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Samtredia vs Sioni odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 24.8%, away 23.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.70 | 3.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.76 | 3.65 | 3.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .