Shturmi
vs
Kolkheti Poti
Garuda Lions Prediction: Shturmi
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti
| Probability | Shturmi | Draw | Kolkheti Poti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 32.5% | 23.7% |
| Market | 45.4% | 27.5% | 27.2% |
| Final | 45.0% | 28.7% | 26.3% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +5.0% | -3.5% |
Why Shturmi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.20 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.05, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti match preview
Shturmi faces Kolkheti Poti in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model assigns a 44% probability of a Shturmi victory, while a draw stands at 32% and Kolkheti Poti at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Shturmi, with a 15% likelihood. The expected goals for Shturmi are 1.20, compared to Kolkheti Poti's 0.82.
In terms of recent form, Shturmi has recorded a sequence of W-D-W-W-L-L, while Kolkheti Poti's last six matches show a D-W-D-W-D-L record. Historically, in their last three encounters, Shturmi has secured 1 win and 2 draws against Kolkheti Poti, who has yet to achieve a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this analysis is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.02
Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti attack and defence ratings
Shturmi
Kolkheti Poti
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 45.0% | 2.22 | -1.5% | 2.05 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 45.0% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Kolkheti Poti | 26.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.3% |
| No | 59.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shturmi win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.9% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti stats
Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti recent form
| Shturmi |
WDWWLL |
| Kolkheti Poti |
DWDWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti season so far
Shturmi record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
Kolkheti Poti record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Kolkheti Poti | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Shturmi | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
| 2026-03-01 | Kolkheti Poti | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 27.5%, away 27.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.34 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.25 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.40 |