Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 28

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti

2 – 0 Full time

40′I. Lekvtadze
42′G. Kharebava
45′D. Kardava
53′D. PachuliaA. Avaliani
53′T. Oloko-ObiG. Ramosi
62′G. Kharebava
62′G. Kharebava
69′S. KharchilavaA. Giunashvili
69′G. OmarashviliG. Vekua
78′T. ShekiladzeL. Butskhrikidze
78′L. KvaratskheliaG. Metuk
81′D. Kardava
89′L. PapavaI. Katsiashvili
90′D. Kardava

Sartichala Central Stadium

Shturmi 45%
Draw 29%
Kolkheti Poti 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityShturmiDrawKolkheti Poti
Model43.8%32.5%23.7%
Market45.2%27.4%27.4%
Final44.9%28.7%26.5%
Edge-0.3%+1.3%-0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Shturmi

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.21 vs 0.81.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Shturmi ↓ / Kolkheti Poti → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti expected goals

Shturmi 1.21
Kolkheti Poti 0.81

Total expected goals: 2.02

Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti attack and defence ratings

Shturmi

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Kolkheti Poti

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti: result vs prediction

Shturmi 2 – 0 Kolkheti Poti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Shturmi 44.9% 2.23 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.1% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score No 59.7% 1.68 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.5% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 55.9% 1.79 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Shturmi44.9%
Draw28.7%
Kolkheti Poti26.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.9%
Under 2.567.1%
Both teams to scoreYes40.3%
No59.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.5%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1Shturmi win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss55.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.7%
0-014.6%
1-114.3%

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti stats

Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti recent form

newest first
Shturmi WDWWLL
Kolkheti Poti DWDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Shturmi and Kolkheti Poti going into this match

league record before kick-off

Shturmi record

  • They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.

Kolkheti Poti record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Shturmi wins 2Draws 0Kolkheti Poti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-22Kolkheti PotiShturmiErovnuli Liga 20-0
2026-05-02ShturmiKolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 21-0
2026-03-01Kolkheti PotiShturmiErovnuli Liga 21-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Shturmi vs Kolkheti Poti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 27.4%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.97 3.30 3.46
Bet365 2.00 3.25 3.25
Betano 2.00 3.30 3.25
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.40
Dafabet 2.01 3.35 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 —
X 3.30 —
2 3.30 ▼ -0.04

2 snapshots recorded, from .