Shturmi
vs
Gareji
1 – 0 Full time
| 30′ | L. Kalandadze | ||
| 33′ | Z. Eradze | ||
| 46′ | B. GugberidzeI. Tchikaidze | ||
| 46′ | T. Shekiladze | ||
| 51′ | T. ShekiladzeZ. Lataria | ||
| 51′ | N. TalakhadzeD. Kardava | ||
| 60′ | D. Kardava | ||
| 67′ | L. Kemoklidze | ||
| 70′ | L. Nozadze | ||
| 78′ | G. NikolaishviliI. Gulisashvili | ||
| 78′ | G. OmarashviliL. Butskhrikidze | ||
| 83′ | L. Butskhrikidze | ||
| 84′ | D. AidarashviliD. Zurabiani | ||
| 84′ | T. KapanadzeM. Kometiani | ||
| 90′ | N. Grigalashvili | ||
| 90′ | L. KemoklidzeL. Berozashvili |
Shturmi vs Gareji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shturmi vs Gareji
| Probability | Shturmi | Draw | Gareji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 24.1% | 22.9% |
| Market | 49.9% | 26.4% | 23.6% |
| Final | 50.7% | 25.8% | 23.5% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -2.4% | -0.8% |
Why Shturmi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.22.
- The market prices Shturmi below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shturmi and Gareji expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Shturmi and Gareji attack and defence ratings
Shturmi
Gareji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shturmi vs Gareji: result vs prediction
Shturmi 1 – 0 Gareji
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shturmi vs Gareji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 50.7% | 1.97 | +3.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 50.7% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Gareji | 23.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.4% |
| No | 38.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shturmi win | 31.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Shturmi vs Gareji stats
Shturmi and Gareji recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shturmi and Gareji going into this match
Shturmi record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
Gareji record
- They have won 14 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shturmi vs Gareji head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Gareji | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Shturmi | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Gareji | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 5-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Shturmi | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-24 | Gareji | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 4-1 |
| 2024-04-06 | Shturmi | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shturmi vs Gareji odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 26.4%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.40 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.60 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .