Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Gareji
vs
Gori
2 – 1 Full time
| 30′ | T. Seidu | ||
| 46′ | I. GulisashviliI. Tchikaidze | ||
| 54′ | B. Gugberidze | ||
| 61′ | B. Hamondi | ||
| 61′ | B. Gugberidze | ||
| 63′ | G. BekadzeG. Kurmashvili | ||
| 63′ | N. NinidzeE. Tabatadze | ||
| 75′ | B. GugberidzeG. Tsetskhladze | ||
| 81′ | J. Owusu-AnsaG. Mamulashvili | ||
| 82′ | G. Samadashvili | ||
| 84′ | B. HamondiA. Sirbiladze | ||
| 85′ | D. AidarashviliM. Kometiani | ||
| 90′ | L. KalandadzeG. Kikvadze |
Gareji
37%
Draw
24%
Gori
39%
Gareji vs Gori overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gareji vs Gori
| Probability | Gareji | Draw | Gori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.0% | 23.6% | 39.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.0% | 23.6% | 39.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gori
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
Gareji and Gori expected goals
Gareji
1.78
Gori
1.84
Total expected goals: 3.62
Gareji and Gori attack and defence ratings
Gareji
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.39 +39%
Gori
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gareji vs Gori: result vs prediction
Gareji 2 – 1 Gori
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gareji vs Gori markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gori | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gareji | 37.0% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Gori | 39.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70.8% |
| No | 29.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gori win | 21.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.9% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.8% |
Gareji vs Gori stats
Gareji and Gori recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gareji and Gori going into this match
Gareji record
- They have won 13 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gori record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 25 matches.
Gareji vs Gori head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
2Gareji wins
0Draws
0Gori wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Gori | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-22 | Gareji | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.