Samtredia
vs
Gareji
6 – 1 Full time
| 23′ | L. Gogitadze | ||
| 27′ | B. Lopez | ||
| 28′ | I. Gulisashvili | ||
| 29′ | G. Kveladze | ||
| 45′ | L. Gogitadze | ||
| 49′ | M. Mushkudiani | ||
| 50′ | M. MushkudianiI. Tchikaidze | ||
| 54′ | L. KalandadzeD. Aidarashvili | ||
| 60′ | L. GogitadzeE. Barrios | ||
| 60′ | T. OdikadzeE. Ayuk | ||
| 60′ | D. DobranskyiT. Jangidze | ||
| 69′ | E. Barrios | ||
| 69′ | T. Babunadze | ||
| 70′ | T. Babunadze | ||
| 70′ | T. Babunadze | ||
| 71′ | O. GagnidzeT. Chikovani | ||
| 72′ | D. ZurabianiN. Grigalashvili | ||
| 72′ | I. GulisashviliG. Kikvadze | ||
| 72′ | B. GugberidzeM. Kometiani | ||
| 76′ | T. Chikovani | ||
| 81′ | E. Barrios | ||
| 82′ | D. GvasaliaL. Patarkatsishvili | ||
| 90′ | T. Chikovani |
Samtredia vs Gareji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samtredia vs Gareji
| Probability | Samtredia | Draw | Gareji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.4% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| Market | 44.7% | 25.3% | 30.0% |
| Final | 47.1% | 24.8% | 28.0% |
| Edge | +9.7% | -2.0% | -7.7% |
Why Samtredia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.02 vs 1.24.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Samtredia below the model: +9.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samtredia and Gareji expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.27
Samtredia and Gareji attack and defence ratings
Samtredia
Gareji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Samtredia vs Gareji: result vs prediction
Samtredia 6 – 1 Gareji
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 25 fixtures
Before and after this match
Samtredia vs Gareji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 47.1% | 2.12 | +9.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 47.1% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Gareji | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 63.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 33.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 45.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 7.8% |
Samtredia vs Gareji stats
Samtredia and Gareji recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samtredia and Gareji going into this match
Samtredia record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gareji record
- They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samtredia vs Gareji head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Gareji | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Samtredia | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-1 |
| 2024-07-27 | Gareji | Samtredia | David Kipiani Cup | 5-0 |
| 2023-12-10 | Gareji | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 3-1 |
| 2023-12-06 | Samtredia | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga | 4-1 |
| 2023-01-28 | Samtredia | Gareji | Friendlies Clubs | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Samtredia | Gareji | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-28 | Gareji | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Samtredia vs Gareji odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 25.3%, away 30.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.60 | 3.06 |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .