Garuda Lions
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Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 25

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti

1 – 1 Full time

46′G. MetukN. Kapanadze
55′G. JeladzeR. Gazdeliani
55′T. MindiashviliN. Tskhovrebashvili
58′V. Kilasonia
62′G. KharebavaG. Ramosi
79′N. AbuladzeL. Kvaratskhelia
80′G. IakobidzeG. Kakulia
82′D. GotsiridzeA. Avaliani
84′KevinL. Gegeshidze
85′V. Goncalves
88′V. Kilasonia
89′G. Kakulia

Tamaz Stepania Stadium, Bolnisi

Sioni 44%
Draw 28%
Kolkheti Poti 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySioniDrawKolkheti Poti
Model43.2%27.3%29.4%
Market43.9%27.8%28.3%
Final43.7%27.7%28.6%
Edge-0.7%-0.5%+1.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Sioni

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.24.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sioni ↓ / Kolkheti Poti → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 53%
No goals 7%

Sioni and Kolkheti Poti expected goals

Sioni 1.55
Kolkheti Poti 1.24

Total expected goals: 2.79

Sioni and Kolkheti Poti attack and defence ratings

Sioni

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Kolkheti Poti

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti: result vs prediction

Sioni 1 – 1 Kolkheti Poti

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 25 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sioni 43.7% 2.29 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.9% 1.89 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.7% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sioni43.7%
Draw27.7%
Kolkheti Poti28.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.9%
Under 2.547.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.2%
No42.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.4%
12 (either side)72.3%
X2 (draw or away)56.3%
Handicap -1Sioni win22.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss56.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-19.1%
1-08.3%

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti stats

Sioni and Kolkheti Poti recent form

newest first
Sioni DWWLLW
Kolkheti Poti WDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Sioni and Kolkheti Poti going into this match

league record before kick-off

Sioni record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.

Kolkheti Poti record

  • They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Sioni wins 4Draws 4Kolkheti Poti wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-30Kolkheti PotiSioniErovnuli Liga 20-0
2026-04-18SioniKolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 20-1
2023-10-29Kolkheti PotiSioniErovnuli Liga 21-0
2023-08-18SioniKolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 21-1
2023-05-15Kolkheti PotiSioniErovnuli Liga 23-1
2023-03-19SioniKolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga 23-2
2018-10-27Kolkheti PotiSioniErovnuli Liga1-1
2018-08-17SioniKolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga2-0
2018-05-19Kolkheti PotiSioniErovnuli Liga2-0
2018-03-18SioniKolkheti PotiErovnuli Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Sioni vs Kolkheti Poti odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 27.8%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.02 3.30 3.32
Bet365 2.10 3.20 3.10
Betano 2.10 3.20 3.15
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.06 ▼ -0.02
X 3.25 ▲ +0.02
2 3.20 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .