Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Kolkheti Poti
vs
Samtredia
1 – 0 Full time
| 4′ | T. Oloko-Obi | ||
| 34′ | N. Abuladze | ||
| 35′ | A. Giunashvili | ||
| 46′ | G. KveladzeD. Gvasalia | ||
| 46′ | T. ChikovaniO. Gagnidze | ||
| 65′ | G. KharebavaL. Kvaratskhelia | ||
| 68′ | L. GogitadzeE. Barrios | ||
| 68′ | L. TsulaiaE. Ayuk | ||
| 69′ | D. GotsiridzeA. Avaliani | ||
| 69′ | N. KapanadzeG. Ramosi | ||
| 85′ | G. GvishianiL. Patarkatsishvili | ||
| 90′ | A. Avaliani | ||
| 90′ | V. Lazarevs | ||
| 90′ | V. GoncalvesD. Pachulia |
Kolkheti Poti
33%
Draw
27%
Samtredia
40%
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia
| Probability | Kolkheti Poti | Draw | Samtredia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.1% | 25.4% | 48.5% |
| Market | 35.7% | 27.5% | 36.8% |
| Final | 33.3% | 27.0% | 39.7% |
| Edge | -9.7% | -2.1% | +11.7% |
Why Samtredia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.26.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Samtredia below the model: +11.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Kolkheti Poti and Samtredia expected goals
Kolkheti Poti
1.26
Samtredia
1.77
Total expected goals: 3.03
Kolkheti Poti and Samtredia attack and defence ratings
Kolkheti Poti
Attack
0.97 -3%
Defence
0.94 -6%
Samtredia
Attack
1.70 +70%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia: result vs prediction
Kolkheti Poti 1 – 0 Samtredia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 39.7% | 2.52 | +11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolkheti Poti | 33.3% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Samtredia | 39.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 51.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.5% | |
| 0-2 | 7.6% |
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia stats
Kolkheti Poti and Samtredia recent form
| Kolkheti Poti |
DWDLDL |
| Samtredia |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolkheti Poti and Samtredia going into this match
Kolkheti Poti record
- They have won 5 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 25 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samtredia record
- They have won 10 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 25 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Kolkheti Poti wins
4Draws
4Samtredia wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Samtredia | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-2 |
| 2026-04-22 | Kolkheti Poti | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-19 | Kolkheti Poti | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-10 | Samtredia | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga | 1-3 |
| 2024-04-26 | Kolkheti Poti | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-03-06 | Samtredia | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga | 1-1 |
| 2019-11-04 | Kolkheti Poti | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2019-08-30 | Samtredia | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-0 |
| 2019-06-14 | Kolkheti Poti | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-2 |
| 2019-04-08 | Samtredia | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kolkheti Poti vs Samtredia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.7%, draw 27.5%, away 36.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.48 | 3.25 | 2.43 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.55 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.48 | 3.25 | 2.43 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.50 ▲ +0.18
X
3.25 ▼ -0.15
2
2.43 ▼ -0.31
2 snapshots recorded, from .