Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 26

Merani Martvili vs Sioni

2 – 1 Full time

28′G. Khetsuriani
30′G. Iakobidze
36′D. Khelaia
45′V. KilasoniaR. Gazdeliani
57′A. Huskic
57′L. KadariaL. Gadilia
61′G. IakobidzeN. Tutashvili
61′G. KakuliaL. Gegeshidze
66′KevinG. Jeladze
66′Z. SitchinavaT. Mindiashvili
69′L. TsotsonavaL. Tsulaia
70′A. Tcholokava
75′L. Gadilia
80′S. KukhianidzeA. Jolokhava
84′N. Tutashvili
90′L. Gadilia

Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava, Martvili

Merani Martvili 39%
Draw 29%
Sioni 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Merani Martvili vs Sioni overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Merani Martvili vs Sioni

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMerani MartviliDrawSioni
Model32.8%30.5%36.7%
Market41.1%28.1%30.8%
Final39.0%28.7%32.3%
Edge-8.2%+2.3%+5.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Merani Martvil ↓ / Sioni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

Merani Martvili and Sioni expected goals

Merani Martvili 1.15
Sioni 1.23

Total expected goals: 2.37

Merani Martvili and Sioni attack and defence ratings

Merani Martvili

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Sioni

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Merani Martvili vs Sioni: result vs prediction

Merani Martvili 2 – 1 Sioni

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Merani Martvili vs Sioni markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Merani Martvili 39.0% 2.56 -8.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.7% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 50.5% 1.98 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 67.2% 1.49 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Merani Martvili39.0%
Draw28.7%
Sioni32.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.3%
Under 2.557.7%
Both teams to scoreYes49.5%
No50.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.7%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)61.0%
Handicap -1Merani Martvili win14.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.9%
Loss67.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
0-010.6%
0-110.1%

Merani Martvili vs Sioni stats

Merani Martvili and Sioni recent form

newest first
Merani Martvili WLLLDL
Sioni DDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Merani Martvili and Sioni going into this match

league record before kick-off

Merani Martvili record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 25 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sioni record

  • They have won 8 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 25 matches.

Merani Martvili vs Sioni head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Merani Martvili wins 3Draws 5Sioni wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-13SioniMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 22-0
2026-04-22Merani MartviliSioniErovnuli Liga 22-1
2025-10-21SioniMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 21-0
2025-08-25Merani MartviliSioniErovnuli Liga 22-4
2025-05-09SioniMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 22-2
2025-03-14Merani MartviliSioniErovnuli Liga 21-1
2023-11-27SioniMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 29-1
2023-09-16Merani MartviliSioniErovnuli Liga 20-2
2023-06-04SioniMerani MartviliErovnuli Liga 21-1
2023-04-21Merani MartviliSioniErovnuli Liga 21-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Merani Martvili vs Sioni odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 28.1%, away 30.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.19 3.14 3.00
Bet365 2.15 3.20 2.90
Betano 2.22 3.20 2.90
Betfair 2.20 3.25 3.00
Marathonbet 2.17 3.14 2.92

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 —
X 3.20 ▼ -0.05
2 2.92 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .