Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 24

Gareji vs Sioni

3 – 3 Full time

3′L. Kalandadze
14′B. Kurdadze
14′V. Kilasonia
33′G. Iakobidze
42′Z. SitchinavaR. Gazdeliani
53′G. Iakobidze
55′Kevin
56′I. Tchikaidze
57′M. MushkudianiD. Aidarashvili
57′G. NikolaishviliI. Gulisashvili
69′I. TchikaidzeM. Kometiani
69′G. IakobidzeN. Tskhovrebashvili
72′D. Aidarashvili
84′D. Zurabiani
87′G. KakuliaD. Tsnobiladze
87′KevinV. Chimakadze
90′D. Zurabiani
90′A. Tcholokava
90′D. Zurabiani

Central stadium

Gareji 43%
Draw 29%
Sioni 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gareji vs Sioni overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gareji vs Sioni

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGarejiDrawSioni
Model48.2%27.9%23.9%
Market41.0%28.7%30.3%
Final42.8%28.5%28.7%
Edge+7.2%-0.8%-6.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Gareji

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.03.
  • The market prices Gareji below the model: +7.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gareji ↓ / Sioni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 11% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Gareji and Sioni expected goals

Gareji 1.55
Sioni 1.03

Total expected goals: 2.58

Gareji and Sioni attack and defence ratings

Gareji

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Sioni

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gareji vs Sioni: result vs prediction

Gareji 3 – 3 Sioni

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 24 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Gareji vs Sioni markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gareji 42.8% 2.34 +7.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.8% 1.93 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.5% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.8% 1.93 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gareji42.8%
Draw28.5%
Sioni28.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes51.8%
No48.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.3%
12 (either side)71.5%
X2 (draw or away)57.2%
Handicap -1Gareji win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss51.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-010.6%
2-19.4%

Gareji vs Sioni stats

Gareji and Sioni recent form

newest first
Gareji WWLDLD
Sioni WWLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gareji and Sioni going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gareji record

  • They have won 13 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sioni record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.

Gareji vs Sioni head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Gareji wins 3Draws 3Sioni wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24SioniGarejiErovnuli Liga 21-1
2026-04-07GarejiSioniErovnuli Liga 22-0
2024-11-22SioniGarejiErovnuli Liga 22-2
2024-09-14GarejiSioniErovnuli Liga 23-0
2024-05-28SioniGarejiErovnuli Liga 22-0
2024-04-13GarejiSioniErovnuli Liga 23-4
2023-10-06GarejiSioniErovnuli Liga 21-1
2023-08-08SioniGarejiErovnuli Liga 22-0
2023-05-05GarejiSioniErovnuli Liga 22-0
2023-03-05SioniGarejiErovnuli Liga 20-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gareji vs Sioni odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 28.7%, away 30.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.20 3.14 3.04
Bet365 2.20 3.20 2.90
Marathonbet 2.18 3.14 2.98

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▼ -0.01
X 3.14 ▼ -0.06
2 2.98 ▲ +0.01

2 snapshots recorded, from .