Aragvi Dusheti
vs
Shturmi
3 – 4 Full time
| 31′ | L. Papava | ||
| 32′ | T. Shekiladze | ||
| 40′ | G. Omarashvili | ||
| 46′ | G. PipiaL. Kobakhidze | ||
| 46′ | S. DvalishviliT. Bregvadze | ||
| 53′ | D. Amoako | ||
| 60′ | L. Nozadze | ||
| 64′ | I. Zaridze | ||
| 71′ | T. ShekiladzeI. Lekvtadze | ||
| 76′ | I. Lekvtadze | ||
| 79′ | L. PapavaI. Katsiashvili | ||
| 83′ | B. NuhuG. Khintibidze | ||
| 87′ | T. Bregvadze | ||
| 88′ | D. Amoako | ||
| 89′ | L. KemoklidzeL. Butskhrikidze | ||
| 90′ | I. Lekvtadze | ||
| 90′ | A. OppongL. Sulkhanishvili | ||
| 90′ | I. Lekvtadze |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi
| Probability | Aragvi Dusheti | Draw | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 33.0% | 22.6% |
| Market | 36.9% | 27.6% | 35.5% |
| Final | 38.8% | 29.0% | 32.2% |
| Edge | +7.5% | +5.4% | -12.9% |
Why Aragvi Dusheti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Aragvi Dusheti below the model: +7.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aragvi Dusheti and Shturmi expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
Aragvi Dusheti and Shturmi attack and defence ratings
Aragvi Dusheti
Shturmi
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi: result vs prediction
Aragvi Dusheti 3 – 4 Shturmi
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 38.8% | 2.58 | +7.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 38.8% |
| Draw | 29.0% | |
| Shturmi | 32.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.4% |
| No | 61.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aragvi Dusheti win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 55.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.6% |
| 0-0 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi stats
Aragvi Dusheti and Shturmi recent form
| Aragvi Dusheti |
DWWLLW |
| Shturmi |
LLWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aragvi Dusheti and Shturmi going into this match
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Shturmi record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Shturmi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-07 | Aragvi Dusheti | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-05 | Shturmi | Aragvi Dusheti | Liga 3 | 0-0 |
| 2025-04-03 | Aragvi Dusheti | Shturmi | Liga 3 | 1-1 |
| 2024-12-08 | Aragvi Dusheti | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-30 | Shturmi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-05 | Aragvi Dusheti | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-27 | Shturmi | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 27.6%, away 35.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.55 |
| Bet365 | 2.40 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .