Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Kolkheti Poti
vs
Aragvi Dusheti
1 – 1 Full time
Kolkheti Poti
35%
Draw
29%
Aragvi Dusheti
36%
Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti
| Probability | Kolkheti Poti | Draw | Aragvi Dusheti |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.5% | 29.5% | 36.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.5% | 29.5% | 36.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aragvi Dusheti
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Kolkheti Poti and Aragvi Dusheti expected goals
Kolkheti Poti
1.24
Aragvi Dusheti
1.26
Total expected goals: 2.51
Kolkheti Poti and Aragvi Dusheti attack and defence ratings
Kolkheti Poti
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Aragvi Dusheti
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti: result vs prediction
Kolkheti Poti 1 – 1 Aragvi Dusheti
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.3% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kolkheti Poti | 34.5% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Aragvi Dusheti | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aragvi Dusheti win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.5% | |
| Loss | 64.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti stats
Kolkheti Poti and Aragvi Dusheti recent form
| Kolkheti Poti |
LDLDDD |
| Aragvi Dusheti |
WWLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kolkheti Poti and Aragvi Dusheti going into this match
Kolkheti Poti record
- They have won 5 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Kolkheti Poti vs Aragvi Dusheti head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Kolkheti Poti wins
0Draws
1Aragvi Dusheti wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Aragvi Dusheti | Kolkheti Poti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Kolkheti Poti | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.