Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 22
Aragvi Dusheti
vs
Gori
1 – 0 Full time
Aragvi Dusheti
45%
Draw
28%
Gori
27%
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gori overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aragvi Dusheti vs Gori
| Probability | Aragvi Dusheti | Draw | Gori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.1% | 28.1% | 26.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.1% | 28.1% | 26.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aragvi Dusheti
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.12.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Aragvi Dusheti and Gori expected goals
Aragvi Dusheti
1.51
Gori
1.12
Total expected goals: 2.63
Aragvi Dusheti and Gori attack and defence ratings
Aragvi Dusheti
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Gori
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gori: result vs prediction
Aragvi Dusheti 1 – 0 Gori
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gori markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aragvi Dusheti | 45.1% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Gori | 26.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aragvi Dusheti win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 54.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 9.7% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gori stats
Aragvi Dusheti and Gori recent form
| Aragvi Dusheti |
WLLWDD |
| Gori |
LWWDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aragvi Dusheti and Gori going into this match
Aragvi Dusheti record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Gori record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gori head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
2Aragvi Dusheti wins
0Draws
0Gori wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Gori | Aragvi Dusheti | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Aragvi Dusheti | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.