Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Gori
vs
Shturmi
3 – 1 Full time
Gori
32%
Draw
37%
Shturmi
31%
Gori vs Shturmi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gori vs Shturmi
| Probability | Gori | Draw | Shturmi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.6% | 37.4% | 30.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 31.6% | 37.4% | 30.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
79%
2+ goals
50%
3+ goals
23%
No goals
21%
Gori and Shturmi expected goals
Gori
0.83
Shturmi
0.81
Total expected goals: 1.64
Gori and Shturmi attack and defence ratings
Gori
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Shturmi
Attack
0.71 -29%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gori vs Shturmi: result vs prediction
Gori 3 – 1 Shturmi
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gori vs Shturmi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 37.4% | 2.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gori | 31.6% |
| Draw | 37.4% | |
| Shturmi | 30.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.6% |
| No | 67.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gori win | 10.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.7% |
| 1-0 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.5% |
Gori vs Shturmi stats
Gori and Shturmi recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gori and Shturmi going into this match
Gori record
- They have won 6 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 24 matches.
Shturmi record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
Gori vs Shturmi head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0Gori wins
1Draws
1Shturmi wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Shturmi | Gori | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2026-04-03 | Gori | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.