Samtredia
vs
Odishi 1919
3 – 0 Full time
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samtredia vs Odishi 1919
| Probability | Samtredia | Draw | Odishi 1919 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.8% | 27.4% | 26.8% |
| Market | 44.1% | 27.4% | 28.6% |
| Final | 44.5% | 27.4% | 28.1% |
| Edge | +1.7% | +0.0% | -1.8% |
Why Samtredia
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samtredia and Odishi 1919 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.73
Samtredia and Odishi 1919 attack and defence ratings
Samtredia
Odishi 1919
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919: result vs prediction
Samtredia 3 – 0 Odishi 1919
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 44.5% | 2.25 | +1.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samtredia | 44.5% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Odishi 1919 | 28.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samtredia win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 54.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919 stats
Samtredia and Odishi 1919 recent form
| Samtredia |
WWWLLD |
| Odishi 1919 |
LDWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samtredia and Odishi 1919 going into this match
Samtredia record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Odishi 1919 record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919 head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Odishi 1919 | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Samtredia | Odishi 1919 | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2025-07-26 | Odishi 1919 | Samtredia | David Kipiani Cup | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Samtredia vs Odishi 1919 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.1%, draw 27.4%, away 28.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.30 |