Erovnuli Liga 2
·
Full time
·Matchday 23
Sioni
vs
Telavi
2 – 1 Full time
Sioni
23%
Draw
34%
Telavi
43%
Sioni vs Telavi overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sioni vs Telavi
| Probability | Sioni | Draw | Telavi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.1% | 34.4% | 42.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.1% | 34.4% | 42.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Telavi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.09 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
56%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
Sioni and Telavi expected goals
Sioni
0.74
Telavi
1.09
Total expected goals: 1.83
Sioni and Telavi attack and defence ratings
Sioni
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Telavi
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.55 -45%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sioni vs Telavi: result vs prediction
Sioni 2 – 1 Telavi
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 23 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sioni vs Telavi markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sioni | 23.1% |
| Draw | 34.4% | |
| Telavi | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.0% |
| No | 64.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 57.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.3% |
| 0-1 | 16.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Sioni vs Telavi stats
Sioni and Telavi recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sioni and Telavi going into this match
Sioni record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
Telavi record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sioni vs Telavi head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Sioni wins
2Draws
3Telavi wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Telavi | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Sioni | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-0 |
| 2022-10-09 | Telavi | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-02 | Sioni | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-05-03 | Telavi | Sioni | Erovnuli Liga | 2-0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Sioni | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.