Erovnuli Liga 2 · Full time ·Matchday 22

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni

0 – 1 Full time

Odishi 1919 44%
Draw 29%
Sioni 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Odishi 1919 vs Sioni

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityOdishi 1919DrawSioni
Model47.8%28.3%23.9%
Market42.8%29.3%27.9%
Final44.0%29.0%26.9%
Edge+5.0%-1.0%-4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Odishi 1919

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.00.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Odishi 1919 below the model: +5.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Odishi 1919 ↓ / Sioni → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 7% 1 11% 13% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Odishi 1919 and Sioni expected goals

Odishi 1919 1.51
Sioni 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.52

Odishi 1919 and Sioni attack and defence ratings

Odishi 1919

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Sioni

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni: result vs prediction

Odishi 1919 0 – 1 Sioni

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 22 fixtures

Erovnuli Liga 2

Before and after this match

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Odishi 1919 44.0% 2.27 +5.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.9% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.1% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.2% 1.91 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Odishi 191944.0%
Draw29.0%
Sioni26.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.1%
Under 2.553.9%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.1%
12 (either side)71.0%
X2 (draw or away)56.0%
Handicap -1Odishi 1919 win24.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss52.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-011.0%
0-09.3%

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni stats

Odishi 1919 and Sioni recent form

newest first
Odishi 1919 DWWLDW
Sioni LLWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Odishi 1919 and Sioni going into this match

league record before kick-off

Odishi 1919 record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sioni record

  • They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Odishi 1919 wins 1Draws 1Sioni wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16SioniOdishi 1919Erovnuli Liga 21-0
2026-03-15Odishi 1919SioniErovnuli Liga 22-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Odishi 1919 vs Sioni odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.8%, draw 29.3%, away 27.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.10 3.02 3.40
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 3.25
Betano 2.12 3.15 3.15
Betfair 2.15 3.10 3.10
Dafabet 2.13 3.10 3.25
Marathonbet 2.07 3.02 3.35
Pinnacle 2.07 2.95 3.31
Superbet 2.12 3.05 3.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.