Telavi
vs
Merani Martvili
1 – 0 Full time
Telavi vs Merani Martvili overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Telavi vs Merani Martvili
| Probability | Telavi | Draw | Merani Martvili |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 35.1% | 16.1% |
| Market | 55.5% | 26.5% | 18.0% |
| Final | 53.9% | 28.6% | 17.5% |
| Edge | -6.7% | +8.6% | -1.9% |
Why Telavi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.10 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Telavi and Merani Martvili expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
Telavi and Merani Martvili attack and defence ratings
Telavi
Merani Martvili
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Telavi vs Merani Martvili: result vs prediction
Telavi 1 – 0 Merani Martvili
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Telavi vs Merani Martvili markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 53.9% | 1.86 | -6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 53.9% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Merani Martvili | 17.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.1% |
| No | 71.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.5% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.0% |
| 1-0 | 20.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.4% |
Telavi vs Merani Martvili stats
Telavi and Merani Martvili recent form
| Telavi |
DDWWWW |
| Merani Martvili |
DLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Telavi and Merani Martvili going into this match
Telavi record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Merani Martvili record
- They have won 8 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Telavi vs Merani Martvili head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Merani Martvili | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Telavi | Merani Martvili | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Telavi vs Merani Martvili odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 26.5%, away 18.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.92 | 3.30 | 3.74 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 3.40 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.62 | 3.45 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.40 | 4.90 |
| Superbet | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.00 |