Shturmi
vs
Samtredia
0 – 1 Full time
Shturmi vs Samtredia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Shturmi vs Samtredia
| Probability | Shturmi | Draw | Samtredia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.4% | 29.6% | 23.0% |
| Market | 53.0% | 25.0% | 22.0% |
| Final | 51.6% | 26.2% | 22.2% |
| Edge | -5.6% | +4.6% | +1.1% |
Why Shturmi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.41 vs 0.91.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Shturmi and Samtredia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Shturmi and Samtredia attack and defence ratings
Shturmi
Samtredia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Shturmi vs Samtredia: result vs prediction
Shturmi 0 – 1 Samtredia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 22 fixtures
Before and after this match
Shturmi vs Samtredia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 51.6% | 1.94 | -5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shturmi | 51.6% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Samtredia | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shturmi win | 23.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 52.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 1-0 | 12.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Shturmi vs Samtredia stats
Shturmi and Samtredia recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Shturmi and Samtredia going into this match
Shturmi record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
Samtredia record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shturmi vs Samtredia head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Samtredia | Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 1-1 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shturmi | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Shturmi vs Samtredia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.0%, draw 25.0%, away 22.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.34 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.65 | 4.00 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.58 | 4.10 |
| Superbet | 1.74 | 3.60 | 3.90 |